Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $282.73K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $270.23K
Potential payout: $2M
Potential profit: $1.73M
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $16.35K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $237.83K
Potential payout: $630K
Potential profit: $392.18K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$77.18K

If you invest $100 $264.9 back +$164.9 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $48.6K
Potential payout: $359.98K
Potential profit: $311.39K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.43K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 5:17 PM

PnL: $195.29K
Volume: $69.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $185.6K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $134.4K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $25.6K

If you invest $100 $172.41 back +$72.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $134.4K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $185.6K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$25.6K

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $28.35K
Volume: $7.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $13.79K
Potential payout: $15.07K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.52K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $11.8K
Potential payout: $12.05K
Potential profit: $247.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.95K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.63K
Volume: $21.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.3%
Current value: $392.18K
Potential payout: $630K
Potential profit: $237.83K
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $77.18K

If you invest $100 $160.64 back +$60.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $237.83K
Potential payout: $630K
Potential profit: $392.18K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$77.18K

If you invest $100 $264.9 back +$164.9 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.84K
Volume: $26.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 0

PnL: $7.37K
Volume: $67.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $96.92K
Potential payout: $107.09K
Potential profit: $10.17K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $52.68K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $82.62K
Potential payout: $83.12K
Potential profit: $498.69
User PnL: $21.1K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.9K
Volume: $602.87K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $270.23K
Potential payout: $2M
Potential profit: $1.73M
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $16.35K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $48.6K
Potential payout: $359.98K
Potential profit: $311.39K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.43K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5K
Volume: $165.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $14.9K
Potential payout: $110.39K
Potential profit: $95.49K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $4.77K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $8.6K
Potential profit: $5.03K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $145

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.64K
Volume: $1.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $200.77K
Potential payout: $331.84K
Potential profit: $131.08K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $33.93K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $195.27K
Potential payout: $239.63K
Potential profit: $44.36K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $26.56K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.91K
Volume: $153.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $3.86K
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $62.82
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$12.66

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $3.54K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $460
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$20

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.81K
Volume: $27.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $372.08
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $34.38

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $240
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.76K
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$160

If you invest $100 $4.17K back +$4.07K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.65K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 72%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $148.61K
Potential payout: $182.36K
Potential profit: $33.76K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $12.65K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $101.2K
Potential payout: $102.07K
Potential profit: $867.59
User PnL: $27.75K

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.02K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $40.78K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $261.26K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $6.14K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $200.77K
Potential payout: $331.84K
Potential profit: $131.08K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $33.93K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $195.27K
Potential payout: $239.63K
Potential profit: $44.36K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $26.56K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $185.6K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $134.4K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $25.6K

If you invest $100 $172.41 back +$72.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $134.4K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $185.6K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$25.6K

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $96.92K
Potential payout: $107.09K
Potential profit: $10.17K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $52.68K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $71.92K
Potential payout: $109.8K
Potential profit: $37.88K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $4.79K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

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