Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $992.5K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $500
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $28.73K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $57.71K
- Potential payout
- $412.18K
- Potential profit
- $354.48K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$30.01K
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $8.87K
- Potential payout
- $213.79K
- Potential profit
- $204.92K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $3.71K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
tdrhrhhd
0xd7f8...89e4 Public @fortaellinger
- PnL
- $6.18K
- Volume
- $50.44K
- Win rate
- 52%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $45.46K
- Potential payout
- $115.09K
- Potential profit
- $69.63K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $15.5K
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $992.5K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $500
Rank #2
SitsToPee
0x6d57...bfc5 Public
- PnL
- $4.34K
- Volume
- $31.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $3.9K
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $151.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $89.1
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $3.32K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $191.14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $19.29
Rank #3
dwFqcd4Z
0xe5c2...2ab0 Public
- PnL
- $3.88K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $68.33K
- Potential payout
- $80.86K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.26K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $39.27K
- Potential payout
- $99.41K
- Potential profit
- $60.14K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $4.39K
Rank #4
EB99999
0x5d0f...f0ad Public
- PnL
- $2.93K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 80.6%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.3%
- Current value
- $13.96K
- Potential payout
- $40.76K
- Potential profit
- $26.8K
- Multiplier
- 2.92x
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $12.99K
- Potential payout
- $32.88K
- Potential profit
- $19.89K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$145.98
Rank #5
Chinuita
0xf4cc...571d Public
- PnL
- $2.08K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $20.53K
- Potential payout
- $51.97K
- Potential profit
- $31.44K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $13.73K
- Potential payout
- $13.75K
- Potential profit
- $20.63
- User PnL
- $4.95K
Rank #6
LlamaLoco0000
0x93fb...3e4a Public @LlamaLoco0000
- PnL
- $1.98K
- Volume
- $2.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $251.29K
- Potential payout
- $260.27K
- Potential profit
- $8.98K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$130.13
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $57.71K
- Potential payout
- $412.18K
- Potential profit
- $354.48K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$30.01K
Rank #7
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $1.92K
- Volume
- $10.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $33.46
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $11.45
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Rank #8
0x2858Ae37256feA3b5f14b18181F0C5e0AbD55964-1769017480720
0x2858...5964 Public
- PnL
- $1.89K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $18.68K
- Potential payout
- $47.28K
- Potential profit
- $28.61K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.98K
- Potential payout
- $6.4K
- Potential profit
- $416.05
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $193.44
Rank #9
Maxtyt
0xbd27...2807 Public
- PnL
- $1.83K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $26.24K
- Potential payout
- $29K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.15K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $15.6K
- Potential payout
- $39.5K
- Potential profit
- $23.9K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Rank #10
Eduglower
0x96ee...bd76 Public
- PnL
- $1.71K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $8.87K
- Potential payout
- $213.79K
- Potential profit
- $204.92K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $3.71K
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $2.82K
- Potential payout
- $182.01K
- Potential profit
- $179.19K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Rank #11
timmythewhale
0x6000...f302 Public
- PnL
- $1.7K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $227.47K
- Potential payout
- $230.58K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.46K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $211.84K
- Potential payout
- $216.27K
- Potential profit
- $4.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.25K
Rank #12
Swen
0x2bec...1664 Public
- PnL
- $1.49K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.1K
- Potential payout
- $175K
- Potential profit
- $172.9K
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $358.4
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.57K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$294.98
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $205.82K
- Potential payout
- $208.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $28.8K
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $68.33K
- Potential payout
- $80.86K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.26K
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $57.71K
- Potential payout
- $412.18K
- Potential profit
- $354.48K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$30.01K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $53.33K
- Potential payout
- $193.93K
- Potential profit
- $140.6K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $4.79K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $45.46K
- Potential payout
- $115.09K
- Potential profit
- $69.63K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $15.5K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $26.24K
- Potential payout
- $29K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market context is temporarily unavailable
Trader intelligence is still available above.