Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $105.85K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $76.34K
Potential payout: $1.33M
Potential profit: $1.25M
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$90.09K

If you invest $100 $1.74K back +$1.64K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $44.04K
Potential payout: $264.51K
Potential profit: $220.47K
Multiplier: 6.01x
User PnL: -$14.52K

If you invest $100 $600.6 back +$500.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $29.7K
Potential payout: $198.02K
Potential profit: $168.32K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $493.47

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 11:54 AM

PnL: $38.9K
Volume: $1.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $61.55K
Potential payout: $74.61K
Potential profit: $13.06K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.68K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $41.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $35.69K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.89K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $211.85K
Potential payout: $313.84K
Potential profit: $102K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $56.77K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $207.66K
Potential payout: $237.33K
Potential profit: $29.67K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $40.79K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.77K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 72%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $159.89K
Potential payout: $162.24K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $43.13K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $159.57K
Potential payout: $182.36K
Potential profit: $22.8K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $23.61K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.86K
Volume: $23.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $781.57K
Potential payout: $794.28K
Potential profit: $12.71K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $108.15K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $91.4K
Potential payout: $135.41K
Potential profit: $44.01K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $17.36K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.15K
Volume: $89.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $5.06K
Potential profit: $3.77K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.24K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $822.97
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $168.56

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.75K
Volume: $18.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $22.37
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $3.81
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.27K
Volume: $260.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $145.28K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: $59.26K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.77K
Volume: $105.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $84.54K
Potential payout: $85.92K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.63K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.8%
Current value: $80.75K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $19.25K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $30.68K

If you invest $100 $123.84 back +$23.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.45K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $183.2K
Potential payout: $186.18K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.3K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $55.59K
Potential payout: $63.53K
Potential profit: $7.94K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $8.58K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.04K
Volume: $241.3
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $76.34K
Potential payout: $1.33M
Potential profit: $1.25M
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$90.09K

If you invest $100 $1.74K back +$1.64K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $29.7K
Potential payout: $198.02K
Potential profit: $168.32K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $493.47

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.96K
Volume: $1.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jalen Duren play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $35.59
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $39.41
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $33.31

If you invest $100 $210.75 back +$110.75 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jalen Duren play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.9%
Current value: $35.14
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $39.86
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $32.86

If you invest $100 $213.45 back +$113.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.72K
Volume: $404.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $170.7K
Potential payout: $181.12K
Potential profit: $10.41K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $95.61K
Potential payout: $95.81K
Potential profit: $191.61
User PnL: $1.62K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $170.7K
Potential payout: $181.12K
Potential profit: $10.41K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.8%
Current value: $80.75K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $19.25K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $30.68K

If you invest $100 $123.84 back +$23.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $76.34K
Potential payout: $1.33M
Potential profit: $1.25M
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$90.09K

If you invest $100 $1.74K back +$1.64K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $61.55K
Potential payout: $74.61K
Potential profit: $13.06K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.68K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $44.04K
Potential payout: $264.51K
Potential profit: $220.47K
Multiplier: 6.01x
User PnL: -$14.52K

If you invest $100 $600.6 back +$500.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $41.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $35.69K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

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