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Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $109.21K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $153.17K
Potential payout: $1.06M
Potential profit: $903.2K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$94.99K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $76.13K
Potential payout: $525.05K
Potential profit: $448.92K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$26.33K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $38.39K
Potential payout: $451.63K
Potential profit: $413.24K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$24.57K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 7:16 PM

PnL: $16.87K
Volume: $55.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $76.13K
Potential payout: $525.05K
Potential profit: $448.92K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$26.33K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $59.2K
Potential payout: $320.01K
Potential profit: $260.81K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$16.77K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.83K
Volume: $16.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $21.85K
Potential payout: $150.69K
Potential profit: $128.84K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$72.03

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $14.43K
Potential payout: $92.21K
Potential profit: $77.78K
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: -$1.92K

If you invest $100 $638.98 back +$538.98 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.21K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $133.58K
Potential payout: $152.67K
Potential profit: $19.08K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $17.58K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $31.29K
Potential payout: $197.4K
Potential profit: $166.11K
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: $13.98K

If you invest $100 $630.91 back +$530.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.56K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 44%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $153.17K
Potential payout: $1.06M
Potential profit: $903.2K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$94.99K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.99K
Potential profit: $550.99K
User PnL: -$52.15K

PnL: $9.23K
Volume: $536.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $173.41K
Potential payout: $181.58K
Potential profit: $8.17K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.48K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $122.57K
Potential payout: $136.95K
Potential profit: $14.38K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $6.29K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $38.39K
Potential payout: $451.63K
Potential profit: $413.24K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$24.57K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.05K
Potential profit: $20.05K
User PnL: -$966.73

PnL: $8.95K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $38.03K
Potential payout: $447.44K
Potential profit: $409.4K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$150.97K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.84K
Potential profit: $9.84K
User PnL: -$199.99

PnL: $8.85K
Volume: $450.52K
Win rate: 88%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.08M
Potential payout: $1.18M
Potential profit: $100.52K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $14.18K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $152.85K
Potential payout: $165.25K
Potential profit: $12.39K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9.06K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.47K
Volume: $29.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $935.6K
Potential payout: $1.02M
Potential profit: $86.91K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $13.16K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $315.44K
Potential payout: $333.98K
Potential profit: $18.54K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.23K

If you invest $100 $105.88 back +$5.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.2K
Volume: $13.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $349.87
Potential payout: $641.96
Potential profit: $292.09
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $330.99

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $154.66
Potential payout: $213.33
Potential profit: $58.67
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $147.04

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.73K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 82.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $421.1K
Potential payout: $450.38K
Potential profit: $29.27K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $53.97K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $379.82K
Potential payout: $410.62K
Potential profit: $30.8K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $29.1K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.07K
Volume: $4.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.6%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $555.68
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$203.24

If you invest $100 $124.15 back +$24.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $174.15
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $275.85
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $160.92

If you invest $100 $258.4 back +$158.4 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $315.44K
Potential payout: $333.98K
Potential profit: $18.54K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.23K

If you invest $100 $105.88 back +$5.88 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $173.41K
Potential payout: $181.58K
Potential profit: $8.17K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.48K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $153.17K
Potential payout: $1.06M
Potential profit: $903.2K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$94.99K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $133.58K
Potential payout: $152.67K
Potential profit: $19.08K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $17.58K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $122.57K
Potential payout: $136.95K
Potential profit: $14.38K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $6.29K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $79.95K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.05K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $29.95K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

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