Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $142.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $913.77K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$105.55K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $100.24K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $173.32K
- Potential payout
- $850K
- Potential profit
- $676.69K
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- -$251.68K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $67.09K
- Potential payout
- $566.15K
- Potential profit
- $499.06K
- Multiplier
- 8.44x
- User PnL
- $18.44K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
87867564576879
0xeb6f...25f0 Public
- PnL
- $15.78K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $15.19K
- Potential payout
- $17.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $978.66
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $8.92K
- Potential payout
- $9.02K
- Potential profit
- $99.23
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Rank #2
anoin123
0x9648...6825 Public
- PnL
- $12.23K
- Volume
- $28.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $651.4K
- Potential payout
- $653.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- $82.53K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $614.45K
- Potential payout
- $617.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- $48.51K
Rank #3
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $11.8K
- Volume
- $353.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $680.34K
- Potential payout
- $854.7K
- Potential profit
- $174.36K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $252.15K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $173.32K
- Potential payout
- $850K
- Potential profit
- $676.69K
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- -$251.68K
Rank #4
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $11.27K
- Volume
- $199.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $106.57
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Rank #5
TheQuietRisk
0x0a85...fe9d Public
- PnL
- $10.56K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $142.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $913.77K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$105.55K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $344.65
- Potential payout
- $137.86K
- Potential profit
- $137.51K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.29K
Rank #6
0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b
0x4207...b81b Public
- PnL
- $9.91K
- Volume
- $41.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $821.84
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $872.68
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$29.76
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $587.56
- Potential payout
- $799.4
- Potential profit
- $211.84
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$42.29
Rank #7
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $8.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $407.59K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $42.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $40.46K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $371.61K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $39.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $20.89K
Rank #8
0xDbD009AA3Fd5A801860C9E0005097dE972Ab2E83-1767835593182
0xdbd0...2e83 Public
- PnL
- $8.12K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $34.94K
- Potential payout
- $162.51K
- Potential profit
- $127.57K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$31.91K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.1%
- Current value
- $166.56
- Potential payout
- $755.39
- Potential profit
- $588.82
- Multiplier
- 4.54x
- User PnL
- $66.56
Rank #9
gopfan2
0xf2f6...5817 Public @r_gopfan
- PnL
- $6.37K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $131.89K
- Potential payout
- $217.99K
- Potential profit
- $86.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$19.2K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $67.09K
- Potential payout
- $566.15K
- Potential profit
- $499.06K
- Multiplier
- 8.44x
- User PnL
- $18.44K
Rank #10
VictorLudorum
0x090a...0fa6 Public
- PnL
- $5.93K
- Volume
- $17.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $214.31
- Potential payout
- $273
- Potential profit
- $58.69
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $60.07
- Potential payout
- $273.03
- Potential profit
- $212.97
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $2.73
Rank #11
willo3
0x33e2...3a1b Public
- PnL
- $5.48K
- Volume
- $22.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- User PnL
- $305.19
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.75K
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $64.27
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $46.79
Rank #12
pilimili
0xd104...acef Public
- PnL
- $5.13K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 53.3%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $623.99K
- Potential payout
- $641.64K
- Potential profit
- $17.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $21.45K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $39.5K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $160.5K
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $7.2K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $407.59K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $42.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $40.46K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $371.61K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $39.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $20.89K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $173.32K
- Potential payout
- $850K
- Potential profit
- $676.69K
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- -$251.68K
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $145.5K
- Potential payout
- $159.02K
- Potential profit
- $13.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.3K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $142.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $913.77K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$105.55K
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $131.89K
- Potential payout
- $217.99K
- Potential profit
- $86.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$19.2K
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