Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $174.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $882.08K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$73.86K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $65.26K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $379.82K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.1K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $421.1K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $29.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.97K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
aenews2
0x44c1...ebc1 Public @aenews
- PnL
- $15.73K
- Volume
- $59.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $53.53K
- Potential payout
- $61.18K
- Potential profit
- $7.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $30.84K
- Potential payout
- $30.88K
- Potential profit
- $46.33
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Rank #2
TheQuietRisk
0x0a85...fe9d Public
- PnL
- $10.56K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $174.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $882.08K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$73.86K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.99K
- Potential profit
- $550.99K
- User PnL
- -$52.15K
Rank #3
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $8.19K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $421.1K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $29.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.97K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $379.82K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.1K
Rank #4
uptime0724
0x1a2f...647a Public
- PnL
- $6.22K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
San Diego Padres position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $563.31
- Potential payout
- $567
- Potential profit
- $3.69
- User PnL
- $249.53
San Diego Padres position
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $541.2
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $8.8
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $359.7
Rank #5
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $5.11K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $149.17K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $825
- User PnL
- $525
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $130.76K
- Potential payout
- $134.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$201.07
Rank #6
Seutervoinen
0xfaf6...cc47 Public
- PnL
- $4.15K
- Volume
- $7.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $25.04K
- Potential payout
- $27.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $481.81
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $19.6K
- Potential payout
- $19.83K
- Potential profit
- $228.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $763.53
Rank #7
onepingonly
0x950e...f8e5 Public
- PnL
- $4K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $66K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $334K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$51.36K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $2.93K
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $928.58
Rank #8
loliti
0xe1e1...d250 Public
- PnL
- $3.8K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 76.2%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $97.85K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $68.29K
- Potential payout
- $70K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$875
Rank #9
Arbguy
0x53e5...6177 Public
- PnL
- $3.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $92.74K
- Potential payout
- $93.73K
- Potential profit
- $984.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $740.35
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $52.5K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $8.2K
Rank #10
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $3.72K
- Volume
- $104.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $265.76K
- Potential profit
- $264.03K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $132.88
Yes position
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $210.1K
- Potential profit
- $208.74K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $105.05
Rank #11
RizzEmWithTheTism
0x836f...906e Public
- PnL
- $3.54K
- Volume
- $2.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $71.83K
- Potential payout
- $73.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$320.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $13.29K
- Potential payout
- $13.69K
- Potential profit
- $403.91
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $47.92
Rank #12
0x93a9...0b88
0x93a9...0b88 Public
- PnL
- $3.14K
- Volume
- $9.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $6.79K
- Potential payout
- $15.61K
- Potential profit
- $8.82K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$234.12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $4.67K
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $6.44K
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $2.26K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $145.5K
- Potential payout
- $159.02K
- Potential profit
- $13.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.3K
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $130.76K
- Potential payout
- $134.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$201.07
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $106.06K
- Potential payout
- $108.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$545.77
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $92.74K
- Potential payout
- $93.73K
- Potential profit
- $984.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $740.35
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $71.83K
- Potential payout
- $73.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$320.04
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $58.02K
- Potential payout
- $64.11K
- Potential profit
- $6.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.75K
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