Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $106.95K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $40.28K
Potential payout: $290.84K
Potential profit: $250.56K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $21.23K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $840.19K
Potential payout: $949.36K
Potential profit: $109.18K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$19.24K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $312.77K
Potential payout: $333.98K
Potential profit: $21.21K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.56K

If you invest $100 $106.78 back +$6.78 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:15 PM

PnL: $39.03K
Volume: $5.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $60.97K
Potential payout: $73.9K
Potential profit: $12.93K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.66K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $41.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $35.69K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.56K
Volume: $1.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $840.19K
Potential payout: $949.36K
Potential profit: $109.18K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$19.24K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $312.77K
Potential payout: $333.98K
Potential profit: $21.21K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.56K

If you invest $100 $106.78 back +$6.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.98K
Volume: $34.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $193.36K
Potential payout: $197.81K
Potential profit: $4.45K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $13.02K

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.8%
Current value: $68.58K
Potential payout: $84.93K
Potential profit: $16.35K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $64.38K

If you invest $100 $123.84 back +$23.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.85K
Volume: $31.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $14.91
User PnL: $2K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $40.28K
Potential payout: $290.84K
Potential profit: $250.56K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $21.23K

If you invest $100 $722.02 back +$622.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.09K
Volume: $6.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.9%
Current value: $36.97
Potential payout: $49.36
Potential profit: $12.39
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $20.52

If you invest $100 $133.51 back +$33.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $16.61
Potential payout: $114.56
Potential profit: $97.95
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $7.06

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.26K
Volume: $38.42K
Win rate: 42.1%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $181.87K
Potential payout: $183.06K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: $20.81K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $163.07K
Potential payout: $164.22K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: $5.46K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.15K
Volume: $18.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $39.22K
Potential payout: $170.51K
Potential profit: $131.29K
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$5.3K

If you invest $100 $434.78 back +$334.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $16.75K
Potential payout: $115.49K
Potential profit: $98.74K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $49.89

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.1K
Volume: $187.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $4.29K
Potential payout: $38.85K
Potential profit: $34.56K
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $3.65K

If you invest $100 $904.98 back +$804.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $4.1K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $595

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.77K
Volume: $6.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $170.88K
Potential payout: $181.12K
Potential profit: $10.23K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.03K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $95.57K
Potential payout: $95.81K
Potential profit: $239.52
User PnL: $1.57K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.65K
Volume: $67.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $10.33K
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $3.83K

If you invest $100 $125.87 back +$25.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $3.3K
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $903.08
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $104.3

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.26K
Volume: $17.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $145.28K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: $59.26K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $187.14K
Potential payout: $206.78K
Potential profit: $19.64K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.25K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $170.88K
Potential payout: $181.12K
Potential profit: $10.23K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.03K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.8%
Current value: $68.58K
Potential payout: $84.93K
Potential profit: $16.35K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $64.38K

If you invest $100 $123.84 back +$23.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $60.97K
Potential payout: $73.9K
Potential profit: $12.93K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.66K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $49.91K
Potential payout: $57.05K
Potential profit: $7.13K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $41.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $35.69K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

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