Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $20.99K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $28.26K
Potential payout: $2.09M
Potential profit: $2.06M
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $10.16K

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $32.06K
Potential payout: $1.53M
Potential profit: $1.49M
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$1.39K

If you invest $100 $4.76K back +$4.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $157.4K
Potential payout: $400K
Potential profit: $242.6K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: -$42.6K

If you invest $100 $254.13 back +$154.13 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 3:15 AM

PnL: $5.06K
Volume: $14.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $31.01K
Potential payout: $54.9K
Potential profit: $23.89K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $1.71K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.24K
Potential profit: $4.24K
User PnL: -$1.76K

PnL: $2.96K
Volume: $235.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $27.81K
Potential payout: $31.07K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.8K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $26.32K
Potential payout: $29.74K
Potential profit: $3.42K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $4.61K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.16K
Volume: $716.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.7%
Current value: $36.85
Potential payout: $49.36
Potential profit: $12.51
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $20.39

If you invest $100 $133.96 back +$33.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mitchell Robinson play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $8.39

If you invest $100 $222.22 back +$122.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.08K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $32.06K
Potential payout: $1.53M
Potential profit: $1.49M
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$1.39K

If you invest $100 $4.76K back +$4.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $28.26K
Potential payout: $2.09M
Potential profit: $2.06M
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $10.16K

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.81K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $167.55K
Potential payout: $183.11K
Potential profit: $15.56K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $54.81K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $77.91K
Potential payout: $87.05K
Potential profit: $9.14K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $25.4K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.73K
Volume: $902.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $310.45
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $81.32

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $487.65
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.83K

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.68K
Volume: $18.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $5.35K
Potential payout: $6.69K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $160.49

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $3.86K
Potential payout: $4.05K
Potential profit: $184.15
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $56.72

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.18K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 52.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $380.69K
Potential payout: $393.88K
Potential profit: $13.19K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $19.55K

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $168.51K
Potential payout: $192.58K
Potential profit: $24.07K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.17K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.17K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 93.8%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $377.27K
Potential payout: $390.34K
Potential profit: $13.08K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $35.47K

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $36K
Potential payout: $36K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.2K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.16K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $13.32K
Potential payout: $61.96K
Potential profit: $48.64K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $821.4

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $11.42K
Potential payout: $17.98K
Potential profit: $6.56K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $883.71

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 60.7%
Current value: $242.6K
Potential payout: $400K
Potential profit: $157.4K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $42.6K

If you invest $100 $164.88 back +$64.88 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $157.4K
Potential payout: $400K
Potential profit: $242.6K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: -$42.6K

If you invest $100 $254.13 back +$154.13 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.09K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $350.63K
Potential payout: $362.78K
Potential profit: $12.15K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $120.26K

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $63.25K
Potential payout: $67.65K
Potential profit: $4.4K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.83K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $167.55K
Potential payout: $183.11K
Potential profit: $15.56K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $54.81K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $157.4K
Potential payout: $400K
Potential profit: $242.6K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: -$42.6K

If you invest $100 $254.13 back +$154.13 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $77.91K
Potential payout: $87.05K
Potential profit: $9.14K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $25.4K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $63.25K
Potential payout: $67.65K
Potential profit: $4.4K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.83K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $59.35K
Potential payout: $62.15K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.5K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $33.54K
Potential payout: $35.36K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $5.07K

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

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