Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $42.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.31M
- Potential profit
- $1.27M
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $8.24K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $47.53K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $20.25K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $79.75K
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- -$29.75K
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $159.41K
- Potential payout
- $236.16K
- Potential profit
- $76.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $41.98K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e...434e Public
- PnL
- $8.77K
- Volume
- $75.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $391.04K
- Potential payout
- $392.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- $5.65K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $328.37K
- Potential payout
- $343.85K
- Potential profit
- $15.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $31.45K
Rank #2
DumplingBMF
0x8f69...7df1 Public
- PnL
- $8.4K
- Volume
- $57.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $79.75K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $20.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $29.75K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $20.25K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $79.75K
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- -$29.75K
Rank #3
peoplearestrange
0x182b...f3d3 Public
- PnL
- $5.01K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 74%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $239.31K
- Potential payout
- $250.59K
- Potential profit
- $11.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $45.4K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.19K
- Potential profit
- $89.19K
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
Rank #4
Bertapotamous
0x134a...9e42 Public
- PnL
- $4.94K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $278.68K
- Potential payout
- $350.54K
- Potential profit
- $71.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $99.82K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $234.64K
- Potential payout
- $245.69K
- Potential profit
- $11.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $60.65K
Rank #5
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $4.73K
- Volume
- $62.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $62.65K
- Potential payout
- $70K
- Potential profit
- $7.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $8.05K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $54.03K
- Potential payout
- $55.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Rank #6
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $4.13K
- Volume
- $270.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $280.08K
- Potential payout
- $320.09K
- Potential profit
- $40.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $53.86K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $271K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $18.84K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $79.41K
Rank #7
hopedieslast
0x5739...5f1a Public
- PnL
- $3.7K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $43.12K
- Potential payout
- $54.24K
- Potential profit
- $11.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $18.69K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $32.97K
- Potential payout
- $35.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.59K
Rank #8
mildwindow27
0x9f20...12c3 Public
- PnL
- $2.83K
- Volume
- $5.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $29.96
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $29.96
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Rank #9
hymolu
0x17e3...9ba5 Public
- PnL
- $2.53K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $119.86K
- Potential payout
- $125.51K
- Potential profit
- $5.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $18.08K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $85.59K
- Potential payout
- $85.8K
- Potential profit
- $214.51
- User PnL
- $5.89K
Rank #10
0xcCa90A5D3C8F2d6663817E3650D6aDbe9aB44C9f-1772395966516
0xcca9...4c9f Public
- PnL
- $2.49K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $20.8K
- Potential payout
- $26.17K
- Potential profit
- $5.36K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $6.17K
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $20.04K
- Potential payout
- $29.26K
- Potential profit
- $9.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $8.96K
Rank #11
bebron.lames.jond
0xb0c8...fe7f Public
- PnL
- $2.41K
- Volume
- $3.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $53.17
- Potential payout
- $53.33
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $42.51
Yes position
Will Anfernee Simons play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.7%
- Current value
- $6.14
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.86
- Multiplier
- 3.26x
- User PnL
- $5.53
Rank #12
chungguskhan
0x7744...999e Public @tenad0me
- PnL
- $2.33K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $159.41K
- Potential payout
- $236.16K
- Potential profit
- $76.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $41.98K
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Current value
- $23.59K
- Potential payout
- $59.96K
- Potential profit
- $36.37K
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- $762.34
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $271K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $18.84K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $79.41K
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $159.41K
- Potential payout
- $236.16K
- Potential profit
- $76.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $41.98K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $92.8K
- Potential payout
- $129.79K
- Potential profit
- $36.99K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $79.75K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $20.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $29.75K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $62.65K
- Potential payout
- $70K
- Potential profit
- $7.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $8.05K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $54.03K
- Potential payout
- $55.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.53K
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