No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $799.2K
- Potential payout
- $913.37K
- Potential profit
- $114.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $139.78K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $102.55K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $85.54K
- Potential payout
- $166.11K
- Potential profit
- $80.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $12.92K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $590.99K
- Potential payout
- $616.9K
- Potential profit
- $25.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17.67K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
Unconscious9485
0x560b...af09 Public
- PnL
- $19.83K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?
Ends Feb 13, 2022- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $764.73
- Potential profit
- $764.12
- Multiplier
- 1250.00x
- User PnL
- -$385.36
No position
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
Ends Jan 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.14K
- Potential profit
- $16.14K
- User PnL
- -$4.4K
Rank #2
87867564576879
0xeb6f...25f0 Public
- PnL
- $15.72K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $15.19K
- Potential payout
- $17.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $978.66
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $8.91K
- Potential payout
- $9.02K
- Potential profit
- $112.76
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Rank #3
0xe0f3208b94bBD4D1a3dEe319D4d574747297D82
0xe0f3...d82c Public
- PnL
- $15.03K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #4
anoin123
0x9648...6825 Public
- PnL
- $9.66K
- Volume
- $13.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $650.74K
- Potential payout
- $653.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- User PnL
- $81.87K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $622.54K
- Potential payout
- $625.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- User PnL
- $49.15K
Rank #5
QuietRiskisWrong
0x88c4...129a Public
- PnL
- $9.46K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $799.2K
- Potential payout
- $913.37K
- Potential profit
- $114.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $139.78K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $30.26K
- Potential payout
- $31.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.34K
Rank #6
0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b
0x4207...b81b Public
- PnL
- $7.53K
- Volume
- $33.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $587.56
- Potential payout
- $799.4
- Potential profit
- $211.84
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$42.29
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $99.01
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $101.01
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $59
Rank #7
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $6.96K
- Volume
- $71.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $221.75K
- Potential payout
- $253.42K
- Potential profit
- $31.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $52.52K
Rank #8
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $6.48K
- Volume
- $109.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.54K
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $2.06K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $86.95
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Rank #9
nojnn
0x7f9e...3a0e Public
- PnL
- $6.37K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $518.71K
- Potential payout
- $592.81K
- Potential profit
- $74.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $109.39K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $62.11K
- Potential payout
- $64.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.35K
Rank #10
willo3
0x33e2...3a1b Public
- PnL
- $5.51K
- Volume
- $20.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- User PnL
- $305.19
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $76.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $35.02
Rank #11
ScottyNooo
0xbacd...ab35 Public
- PnL
- $5.17K
- Volume
- $5.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $105.12K
- Potential payout
- $105.49K
- Potential profit
- $369.21
- User PnL
- $12.95K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $85.54K
- Potential payout
- $166.11K
- Potential profit
- $80.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $12.92K
Rank #12
ydxistheking
0xdbf7...fbea Public @EldarYadin
- PnL
- $4.95K
- Volume
- $16.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $18.08K
- Potential payout
- $18.62K
- Potential profit
- $539.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.58K
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $14.2K
- Potential payout
- $22.36K
- Potential profit
- $8.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $6.84K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $166.14K
- Potential payout
- $168.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.65K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $85.54K
- Potential payout
- $166.11K
- Potential profit
- $80.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $12.92K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $82.75K
- Potential payout
- $83.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $62.11K
- Potential payout
- $64.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.35K
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $23.19K
- Potential payout
- $28.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $18.08K
- Potential payout
- $18.62K
- Potential profit
- $539.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.58K
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