Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $28.44K
- Potential payout
- $162.51K
- Potential profit
- $134.07K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$38.41K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $83.4K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $799.2K
- Potential payout
- $913.37K
- Potential profit
- $114.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $139.78K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.81K
- Potential payout
- $101.6K
- Potential profit
- $81.79K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$66.03K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
87867564576879
0xeb6f...25f0 Public
- PnL
- $15.75K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $15.19K
- Potential payout
- $17.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $978.66
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $8.91K
- Potential payout
- $9.02K
- Potential profit
- $112.76
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Rank #2
anoin123
0x9648...6825 Public
- PnL
- $11.11K
- Volume
- $8.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $650.09K
- Potential payout
- $653.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- $81.22K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $621.92K
- Potential payout
- $625.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- User PnL
- $48.53K
Rank #3
pugdev
0xb8a7...7674 Public
- PnL
- $10.16K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.81K
- Potential payout
- $101.6K
- Potential profit
- $81.79K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$66.03K
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $7.64K
- Potential payout
- $7.99K
- Potential profit
- $359.77
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $569.72
Rank #4
QuietRiskisWrong
0x88c4...129a Public
- PnL
- $9.53K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $799.2K
- Potential payout
- $913.37K
- Potential profit
- $114.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $139.78K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $30.4K
- Potential payout
- $31.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.48K
Rank #5
0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b
0x4207...b81b Public
- PnL
- $7.55K
- Volume
- $31.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $587.56
- Potential payout
- $799.4
- Potential profit
- $211.84
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$42.29
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $99.01
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $101.01
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $59
Rank #6
ForzaEton
0xd21f...e03f Public
- PnL
- $7.34K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $14.31K
- Potential payout
- $73.39K
- Potential profit
- $59.08K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$26.46K
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $61.02
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$938.98
Rank #7
nojnn
0x7f9e...3a0e Public
- PnL
- $6.76K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $518.71K
- Potential payout
- $592.81K
- Potential profit
- $74.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $109.39K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $62.41K
- Potential payout
- $64.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.64K
Rank #8
cezarn132
0x5f17...519e Public
- PnL
- $5.46K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $32.57K
- Potential payout
- $36.59K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $10.12K
No position
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $12.67K
- Potential payout
- $12.71K
- Potential profit
- $31.76
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Rank #9
0xDbD009AA3Fd5A801860C9E0005097dE972Ab2E83-1767835593182
0xdbd0...2e83 Public
- PnL
- $4.88K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $28.44K
- Potential payout
- $162.51K
- Potential profit
- $134.07K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$38.41K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Current value
- $168.07
- Potential payout
- $755.39
- Potential profit
- $587.31
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- $68.07
Rank #10
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $4.87K
- Volume
- $9.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.37K
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $112.78
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $28.87
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Rank #11
ydxistheking
0xdbf7...fbea Public @EldarYadin
- PnL
- $4.86K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $18.08K
- Potential payout
- $18.62K
- Potential profit
- $539.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.58K
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $13.3K
- Potential payout
- $22.36K
- Potential profit
- $9.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $5.95K
Rank #12
65765757
0x2974...9c23 Public
- PnL
- $4.53K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $378.94K
- Potential payout
- $433.07K
- Potential profit
- $54.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $77.92K
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $23.15K
- Potential payout
- $28.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $3.9K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $32.57K
- Potential payout
- $36.59K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $10.12K
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $28.44K
- Potential payout
- $162.51K
- Potential profit
- $134.07K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$38.41K
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $23.15K
- Potential payout
- $28.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $3.9K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.81K
- Potential payout
- $101.6K
- Potential profit
- $81.79K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$66.03K
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $18.08K
- Potential payout
- $18.62K
- Potential profit
- $539.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.58K
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $15.19K
- Potential payout
- $17.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $978.66
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
Yes88.5% No11.6%
Market Live
Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Yes95% No5%
Market Live
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
Yes10% No90%
Market Live
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?
Yes92.5% No7.5%
Market Live
Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Yes5.5% No94.5%