Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $228.88K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $386.04K
Potential payout: $695.57K
Potential profit: $309.53K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $44.97K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $14.28K
Potential payout: $238.01K
Potential profit: $223.73K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$22.02K

If you invest $100 $1.67K back +$1.57K estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $335.18K
Potential payout: $438.15K
Potential profit: $102.97K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $12.25K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 12:26 AM

PnL: $91.46K
Volume: $46.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $5.81K
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $682.02
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $235.49

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $5.67K
Potential payout: $5.81K
Potential profit: $136.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $386.23

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $26.08K
Volume: $559.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $7.51K
Potential payout: $38.83K
Potential profit: $31.32K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$11.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $366.88

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $20.07K
Volume: $25.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38.1%
Current value: $15.59K
Potential payout: $40.91K
Potential profit: $25.33K
Multiplier: 2.62x
User PnL: $9.62K

If you invest $100 $262.47 back +$162.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.94K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: $10.01

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.5K
Volume: $20.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18K
Volume: $733.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $335.18K
Potential payout: $438.15K
Potential profit: $102.97K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $12.25K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.08K
Volume: $10.16K
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $49.65K
Potential payout: $49.8K
Potential profit: $149.4
User PnL: $7.44K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $48.72K
Potential payout: $76.72K
Potential profit: $28K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.71K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.04K
Volume: $17.07K
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $386.04K
Potential payout: $695.57K
Potential profit: $309.53K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $44.97K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $199.58K
Potential payout: $225.9K
Potential profit: $26.32K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $7.65K

If you invest $100 $113.19 back +$13.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.29K
Volume: $37.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.22K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$524.99

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.07M
Potential profit: $1.07M
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.33K

If you invest $100 $100K back +$99.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.69K
Volume: $20.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Dan Barker win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $63.47
Potential payout: $819
Potential profit: $755.53
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $47.41

If you invest $100 $1.29K back +$1.19K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $28.26
Potential payout: $819
Potential profit: $790.74
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $12.2

If you invest $100 $2.9K back +$2.8K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.66K
Volume: $19.95K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $228.39K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.63K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $52.31K
Potential payout: $52.47K
Potential profit: $157.4
User PnL: $6.37K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.48K
Volume: $19.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $116.18K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $16.6K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.95K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $70.91K
Potential payout: $149.29K
Potential profit: $78.38K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.1K
Volume: $21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $11.66K
Potential payout: $14.94K
Potential profit: $3.29K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $3.43K

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $5K
Potential payout: $18.89K
Potential profit: $13.88K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $93.63

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $228.39K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.63K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $199.58K
Potential payout: $225.9K
Potential profit: $26.32K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $7.65K

If you invest $100 $113.19 back +$13.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $116.18K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $16.6K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.95K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $70.91K
Potential payout: $149.29K
Potential profit: $78.38K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $48.72K
Potential payout: $76.72K
Potential profit: $28K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.71K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62% No38%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes38% No62.1%