Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $52.56K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $20.34K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $79.66K
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: -$29.66K

If you invest $100 $491.64 back +$391.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $14.09K
Potential payout: $91.22K
Potential profit: $77.13K
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $5.31K

If you invest $100 $647.25 back +$547.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $12.99K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $9.22K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $4.77K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 8:10 PM

PnL: $5.83K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 2

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$100

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$50

PnL: $5.42K
Volume: $282.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $20.34K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $79.66K
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: -$29.66K

If you invest $100 $491.64 back +$391.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $20.03K
Potential payout: $20.92K
Potential profit: $889.07
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $153.9

If you invest $100 $104.44 back +$4.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.39K
Volume: $761.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.94K
Potential payout: $11.7K
Potential profit: $760.8
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $787.36

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $8.65K
Potential payout: $9.35K
Potential profit: $701.41
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $103.49

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.35K
Volume: $90.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $15.13K
Potential payout: $18.34K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $736.19

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $12.82K
Potential payout: $16.12K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $764.72

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.31K
Volume: $132.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $4.81K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $187.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $462.5

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $4.46K
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $246.85
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$106.91

If you invest $100 $105.54 back +$5.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.16K
Volume: $104.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$367.09

PnL: $5.09K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $5.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 54.3%
Open positions: 3

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$4.8K

PlayTime position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41K
Potential profit: $4.41K
User PnL: -$1.5K

PnL: $5K
Volume: $6.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $426.31
Potential payout: $660.95
Potential profit: $234.64
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$125.16

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $387.39
Potential payout: $388.95
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: $19.89

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Messi position

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $26.19
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $94.93

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x China Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $103.62
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $47.58

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.78K
Volume: $5.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.67K
Potential profit: $86.67K
User PnL: -$17.33K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.67K
Potential profit: $86.67K
User PnL: -$17.33K

PnL: $4.77K
Volume: $11.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $14.64K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $754.3
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.59K

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $14.09K
Potential payout: $91.22K
Potential profit: $77.13K
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $5.31K

If you invest $100 $647.25 back +$547.25 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $15.13K
Potential payout: $18.34K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $736.19

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $14.64K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $754.3
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.59K

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $14.09K
Potential payout: $91.22K
Potential profit: $77.13K
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $5.31K

If you invest $100 $647.25 back +$547.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $12.99K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $9.22K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $4.77K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $12.82K
Potential payout: $16.12K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $764.72

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $11.26K
Potential payout: $13.25K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.37K

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.