Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $58.58K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $79.5K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$29.5K

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $14.23K
Potential payout: $91.22K
Potential profit: $76.99K
Multiplier: 6.41x
User PnL: $5.45K

If you invest $100 $641.03 back +$541.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $10.71K
Potential payout: $27.11K
Potential profit: $16.4K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $578.08

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 11:49 PM

PnL: $6.51K
Volume: $117.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $15.13K
Potential payout: $18.34K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $736.19

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $12.82K
Potential payout: $16.12K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $764.72

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.25K
Volume: $48.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $400.83
Potential payout: $402.84
Potential profit: $2.01
User PnL: $114.81

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $334.98
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.66K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $15

If you invest $100 $2.99K back +$2.89K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.2K
Volume: $4.49K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 2

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$100

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$50

PnL: $6.15K
Volume: $20.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $13.53K
Potential payout: $15.65K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $951.57

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $11.94K
Potential payout: $14.3K
Potential profit: $2.36K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$65.14

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.87K
Volume: $18.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $14.64K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $754.3
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.59K

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $14.23K
Potential payout: $91.22K
Potential profit: $76.99K
Multiplier: 6.41x
User PnL: $5.45K

If you invest $100 $641.03 back +$541.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.71K
Volume: $132.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $4.8K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $202.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $447.5

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $4.09K
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $128.78
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $106.66

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.63K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $5.52K
Volume: $85.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $104.38K
Potential payout: $104.43K
Potential profit: $52.22
User PnL: $3.07K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: $450

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.36K
Volume: $761.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $8.58K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $179.6
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $127.04

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.62K
Potential payout: $6.08K
Potential profit: $456
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $98.11

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.36K
Volume: $342.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $20.96K
Potential payout: $21.03K
Potential profit: $73.61
User PnL: $2.15K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $79.5K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$29.5K

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.28K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.82

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $29.19
Potential profit: $28.49
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $0.26

If you invest $100 $4.17K back +$4.07K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.18K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Messi position

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $41.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $79.97

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x China Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $103.62
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $47.58

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $15.13K
Potential payout: $18.34K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $736.19

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $14.64K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $754.3
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.59K

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $14.23K
Potential payout: $91.22K
Potential profit: $76.99K
Multiplier: 6.41x
User PnL: $5.45K

If you invest $100 $641.03 back +$541.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $13.53K
Potential payout: $15.65K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $951.57

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $13.44K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $8.77K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $5.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $12.82K
Potential payout: $16.12K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $764.72

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

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