Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $10.8
- Potential payout
- $7.2K
- Potential profit
- $7.19K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$493.2
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $11.95K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $29.88
- Potential payout
- $9.96K
- Potential profit
- $9.93K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Yes position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $12.1
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$590.9
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
Joe-Biden
0x8b5a...00f2 Public
- PnL
- $1.41K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.73K
- Potential profit
- $9.73K
- User PnL
- -$77.86
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55K
- Potential profit
- $55K
- User PnL
- -$21.45K
Rank #14
AlexCimmeria
0x21c7...191a Public
- PnL
- $1.36K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $38.94
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$65.56
Yes position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $12.1
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$590.9
Rank #15
Arbguy
0x53e5...6177 Public
- PnL
- $1.31K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $3.05K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $96.95K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $450
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $41.12K
- Potential profit
- $38.88K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $195.88
Rank #16
generalSVR
0x5e85...80c1 Public
- PnL
- $1.31K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #17
ranger44
0x3355...a126 Public
- PnL
- $1.21K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 64.3%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #18
loliti
0xe1e1...d250 Public
- PnL
- $1.16K
- Volume
- $139.1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 2
Iraq position
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$8K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$411.8
Rank #19
Poopin
0xc1fa...d0b7 Public
- PnL
- $1.13K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #20
Bogr
0x3a68...835a Public
- PnL
- $1.04K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.03
- Potential profit
- $60.03
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.03
- Potential profit
- $60.03
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Rank #21
truefish31
0x811b...7006 Public
- PnL
- $1.02K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #22
Bertapotamous
0x134a...9e42 Public
- PnL
- $1.01K
- Volume
- $2.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $320.01
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- -$168.42
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $29.88
- Potential payout
- $9.96K
- Potential profit
- $9.93K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Rank #23
peoplearestrange
0x182b...f3d3 Public
- PnL
- $911.82
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 53.3%
- Open positions
- 3
Virtus.pro position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.6K
- Potential profit
- $7.6K
- User PnL
- -$3.65K
Team Spirit position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$4.8K
Rank #24
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $901.7
- Volume
- $50
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $44.67K
- Potential payout
- $45.56K
- Potential profit
- $888.42
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $43.27K
- Potential payout
- $43.55K
- Potential profit
- $283.07
- User PnL
- $2.69K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $41.12K
- Potential profit
- $38.88K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $195.88
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $113.97
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $320.01
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- -$168.42
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $38.94
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$65.56
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $29.88
- Potential payout
- $9.96K
- Potential profit
- $9.93K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Yes position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $12.1
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$590.9
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