Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $24.75K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.47

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $733.75
Potential payout: $112.88K
Potential profit: $112.15K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $56.44

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $731.39
Potential payout: $112.52K
Potential profit: $111.79K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $56.26

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:22 AM

PnL: $2.94K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 96.7%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.92K
Volume: $17.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $3.2K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.24K

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $15.34K
Potential profit: $11.89K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$747.27

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.78K
Volume: $27.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $14.36K
Potential payout: $221K
Potential profit: $206.63K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$9.85K

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $13.02K
Potential payout: $13.35K
Potential profit: $327
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $199.94

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.67K
Volume: $7.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $11.83
Potential profit: $10.06
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $0.35

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will South Africa finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$20.22

PnL: $2.5K
Volume: $14.62K
Win rate: 23.8%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.46K
Volume: $34.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $82.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.04

If you invest $100 $104.11 back +$4.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $3.03K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $225

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.13K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $135.69
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $252

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.37K
Potential profit: $4.37K
User PnL: -$2.49K

PnL: $2.12K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.39K
Potential profit: $17.39K
User PnL: -$3.65K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.91K
Potential profit: $123.91K
User PnL: -$105.11K

PnL: $2.12K
Volume: $128.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $733.75
Potential payout: $112.88K
Potential profit: $112.15K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $56.44

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $731.39
Potential payout: $112.52K
Potential profit: $111.79K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $56.26

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.11K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $963.51
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $426.78

If you invest $100 $169.49 back +$69.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $790
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$310

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.08K
Volume: $1.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Matt Pinnell win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.47

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.47

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.95K
Volume: $66.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.25

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $3.15
Potential profit: $3.13
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.84

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $3.2K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.24K

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $15.34K
Potential profit: $11.89K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$747.27

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

France position

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $3.77K
Potential profit: $320.45
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$18.85

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $82.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.04

If you invest $100 $104.11 back +$4.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $3.03K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $225

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$15

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

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