Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $38.37
- Potential payout
- $76.74K
- Potential profit
- $76.7K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.83K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $52.57K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $20.05K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $79.95K
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$29.95K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $10.62K
- Potential payout
- $23.33K
- Potential profit
- $12.72K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
llh
0x8349...c99d Public
- PnL
- $6.2K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #14
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $6.08K
- Volume
- $90.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $15.13K
- Potential payout
- $18.34K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $736.19
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $12.82K
- Potential payout
- $16.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $764.72
Rank #15
0xC97b0b2A2547bB3eD57167092EF8a6e816C347E5-1770003388001
0xc97b...47e5 Public
- PnL
- $5.57K
- Volume
- $132.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $4.81K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $192.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $457.5
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $4.44K
- Potential payout
- $4.7K
- Potential profit
- $265.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$125.71
Rank #16
ocean322
0xdf17...97d1 Public
- PnL
- $5.32K
- Volume
- $761.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $10.62K
- Potential payout
- $23.33K
- Potential profit
- $12.72K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.65K
- Potential payout
- $9.35K
- Potential profit
- $701.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $103.49
Rank #17
peoplearestrange
0x182b...f3d3 Public
- PnL
- $5.01K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 54.3%
- Open positions
- 3
Team Spirit position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$4.8K
PlayTime position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $4.41K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Rank #18
Bertapotamous
0x134a...9e42 Public
- PnL
- $5.01K
- Volume
- $6.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $426.31
- Potential payout
- $660.95
- Potential profit
- $234.64
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$125.16
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $367.57
- Potential payout
- $369.97
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- User PnL
- $15.36
Rank #19
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $5K
- Volume
- $271.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $20.05K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $79.95K
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$29.95K
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $20.02K
- Potential payout
- $20.92K
- Potential profit
- $899.53
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $143.44
Rank #20
onekey02
0xfaf9...f4c4 Public
- PnL
- $4.9K
- Volume
- $104.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$92
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$367.09
Rank #21
basedd
0x8c2f...1a88 Public
- PnL
- $4.78K
- Volume
- $5.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.67K
- Potential profit
- $86.67K
- User PnL
- -$17.33K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.67K
- Potential profit
- $86.67K
- User PnL
- -$17.33K
Rank #22
JosephofEgypt
0x6062...92dc Public
- PnL
- $4.7K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #23
flawfence
0x23d8...0288 Public
- PnL
- $4.68K
- Volume
- $48.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $400.83
- Potential payout
- $402.84
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- User PnL
- $114.81
No position
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.8%
- Current value
- $82.34
- Potential payout
- $243.98
- Potential profit
- $161.64
- Multiplier
- 2.96x
- User PnL
- -$77.31
Rank #24
0xA2cd4CcdA9A1f95949DF7A3355C4c2DAa0642Ba0-1729178570395
0xa2cd...2ba0 Public
- PnL
- $4.67K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $15.13K
- Potential payout
- $18.34K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $736.19
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $12.82K
- Potential payout
- $16.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $764.72
No position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $11.39K
- Potential payout
- $13.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $10.62K
- Potential payout
- $23.33K
- Potential profit
- $12.72K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.65K
- Potential payout
- $9.35K
- Potential profit
- $701.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $103.49
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $8.58K
- Potential payout
- $8.76K
- Potential profit
- $179.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $127.04
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