Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $29.32K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $97.59
Potential payout: $65.06K
Potential profit: $64.96K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$986.71

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $113.1
Potential payout: $17.4K
Potential profit: $17.29K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$22.83

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.9K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $15.45

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:10 AM

PnL: $3.52K
Volume: $3.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $20.79K
Potential payout: $23.12K
Potential profit: $2.32K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.35K

If you invest $100 $111.17 back +$11.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $19.81K
Potential payout: $23.45K
Potential profit: $3.63K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $152.42

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.49K
Volume: $1.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $12.66
Potential payout: $87.28
Potential profit: $74.63
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $9.3

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "honeybee - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $12.13
Potential payout: $61.75
Potential profit: $49.61
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $9.19

If you invest $100 $508.91 back +$408.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.3K
Volume: $14.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $113.1
Potential payout: $17.4K
Potential profit: $17.29K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$22.83

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.9K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $15.45

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.17K
Volume: $404.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $39.93K
Potential payout: $39.99K
Potential profit: $59.98
User PnL: $803.59

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $37.1K
Potential payout: $37.15K
Potential profit: $55.73
User PnL: $538.92

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.09K
Volume: $84.76K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.82K
Volume: $826
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $88.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $77.5

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $50.17
Potential payout: $127.01
Potential profit: $76.84
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $10.8

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.69K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 35.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will David Lammy be in the Burnham cabinet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $20.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $19.6
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$1.8

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bridget Phillipson be in the Burnham cabinet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $9.7
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $10.29
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.3

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.65K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $4.73K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$99.08

If you invest $100 $322.58 back +$222.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $15.55
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $394.97

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.31K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 2

Iraq position

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$8K

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$411.8

PnL: $2.25K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 31.3%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.17K
Volume: $38.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $3.81K
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $40.47
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $3.64K
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $909.69
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $933.64

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $3.81K
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $40.47
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $3.64K
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $909.69
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $933.64

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $3.34K
Potential payout: $9.7K
Potential profit: $6.35K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $1.25K

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $4.73K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$99.08

If you invest $100 $322.58 back +$222.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $15.55
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $394.97

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $844.72
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$26.59

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

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