Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $54.62K
- Potential profit
- $51.86K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $623.02
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $506.39K POLITICS · WEEK · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $11.54K
- Potential profit
- $10.21K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $9.63K
- Multiplier
- 7.52x
- User PnL
- -$568.66
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
Clicker1
0xc884...e17e Public
- PnL
- $64.93K
- Volume
- $108.73K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.62K
- Potential profit
- $3.62K
- User PnL
- -$614.98
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.58K
- Potential profit
- $136.58K
- User PnL
- -$68.8K
Rank #14
eightpenguins
0x3c59...1766 Public
- PnL
- $58.05K
- Volume
- $490.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $541.13
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $172.61
Yes position
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $851.07
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$107.6
Rank #15
coali10
0x7bc1...8db4 Public
- PnL
- $57.71K
- Volume
- $1.51M
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Joo Ho-young win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.76K
- Potential profit
- $28.76K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Yes position
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.55K
- Potential profit
- $50.55K
- User PnL
- -$765.92
Rank #16
Bertapotamous
0x134a...9e42 Public
- PnL
- $56.52K
- Volume
- $470.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $93.11
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $11.54K
- Potential profit
- $10.21K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Rank #17
AgricultureSecretary
0x6ffb...a834 Public @RookeBrollins
- PnL
- $53.92K
- Volume
- $418.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #18
mr.ozi
0x614d...1546 Verified @MrOziPM
- PnL
- $52.82K
- Volume
- $298.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $14.82K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $180
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.35K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $13.35K
- Potential payout
- $14.27K
- Potential profit
- $927.78
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $323.34
Rank #19
SlotinCap
0xa551...e050 Public
- PnL
- $43.87K
- Volume
- $854.01K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #20
chungguskhan
0x7744...999e Public @tenad0me
- PnL
- $40.11K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #21
PantheraUncia
0xcf19...6402 Public @IvanCryptoSlav
- PnL
- $39.62K
- Volume
- $72.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $54.62K
- Potential profit
- $51.86K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $623.02
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $2.33K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $175
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $325
Rank #22
ScottyNooo
0xbacd...ab35 Public
- PnL
- $38.82K
- Volume
- $1.84M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $19.78K
- Potential payout
- $22.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.45K
No position
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $19.54K
- Potential payout
- $20.2K
- Potential profit
- $666.68
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$343.3
Rank #23
rdba
0xc4d1...8ce8 Public
- PnL
- $37.23K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $3.73K
- Potential payout
- $6.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $417.08
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $3.34K
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $32.04
- User PnL
- $11.8
Rank #24
NonceChaser
0xb1ca...1705 Public
- PnL
- $37.05K
- Volume
- $568.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.91K
- Potential payout
- $20.92K
- Potential profit
- $10.46
- User PnL
- $163.14
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.1%
- Current value
- $19.9K
- Potential payout
- $23.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $462.76
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $19.54K
- Potential payout
- $20.2K
- Potential profit
- $666.68
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$343.3
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $17.08K
- Potential payout
- $20.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $495.02
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $14.82K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $180
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.35K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $13.35K
- Potential payout
- $14.27K
- Potential profit
- $927.78
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $323.34
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 91.7%
- Current value
- $11.75K
- Potential payout
- $12.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $3.73K
- Potential payout
- $6.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $417.08
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Yes84.5% No15.5%
Jordan Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
Yes3.2% No96.8%
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes52.5% No47.5%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79% No21%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsO/U 10.5 Jun 24, 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Yes78% No22%
O/U 10.5 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Yes100% No0.1%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNRFI Jun 23, 2026
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes46.5% No53.5%
NRFI Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Yes100% No0%
Event Live
Austria vs. Jordan - Second Half Result
AustriaJordan Jun 17, 2026
Austria Austria to win the second half?
Yes33% No67%
Jordan Jordan to win the second half?
Yes10% No90%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - First 5 Innings Winner
San Francisco GiantsAtlanta Braves Jun 16, 2026
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes49.5% No50.5%
Event Live
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Match WinnerEnds in Daytime Jun 17, 2026
Match Winner Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Yes70.5% No29.5%
Ends in Daytime Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Game 1 WinnerMatch Winner Jun 17, 2026
Game 1 Winner Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner
Yes100% No0.1%
Match Winner Dota 2: Carstensz vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Yes88.5% No11.5%
Market Live
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes21.5% No78.5%
Market Live
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes10.5% No89.5%