Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $50.76K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.75

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $97.53
Potential payout: $65.02K
Potential profit: $64.92K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $42.2

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $97.53
Potential payout: $65.02K
Potential profit: $64.92K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $44.6

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 9:25 PM

PnL: $6.22K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 59.6%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $6.05K
Volume: $4.65K
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $15.3K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $4.7K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $500

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $9.77K
Potential payout: $9.99K
Potential profit: $219.86
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $179.89

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.83K
Volume: $18.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $97.53
Potential payout: $65.02K
Potential profit: $64.92K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $42.2

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $97.53
Potential payout: $65.02K
Potential profit: $64.92K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $44.6

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.8K
Volume: $15.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.54K
Potential profit: $58.54K
User PnL: -$2.42K

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.71
Potential profit: $22.71
User PnL: -$0.43

PnL: $4.63K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 64.3%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.54K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.53K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $475.1
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.81K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $5.13K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $390.64

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.53K
Volume: $30.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.75

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$50

PnL: $4.49K
Volume: $9.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $49.11
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $178.91

If you invest $100 $102.88 back +$2.88 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $546.84
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $100.44

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.41K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 2

Iraq position

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$8K

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$411.8

PnL: $4.26K
Volume: $191.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$3.3K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.63K
Potential profit: $333.63K
User PnL: -$72.57K

PnL: $4.18K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $3.78K
Volume: $38.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $13.65K
Potential payout: $14.27K
Potential profit: $620.9
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $630.22

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $12.5K
Potential payout: $12.82K
Potential profit: $326.98
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.38K

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $9.77K
Potential payout: $9.99K
Potential profit: $219.86
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $179.89

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $9.53K
Potential payout: $9.68K
Potential profit: $150.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $217.46

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.38K
Potential payout: $10.04K
Potential profit: $657.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $995.82

If you invest $100 $107.01 back +$7.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.53K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $475.1
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.81K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $5.13K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $390.64

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $3.74K
Potential profit: $205.7
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.07K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

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Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Yes2.9% No97.1%