Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $26.76K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $16.69
Potential payout: $33.39K
Potential profit: $33.37K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$664.65

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $16.69
Potential payout: $33.39K
Potential profit: $33.37K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$664.65

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $16.69
Potential payout: $33.39K
Potential profit: $33.37K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$664.65

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 7:13 PM

PnL: $2.97K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $122.16
Potential payout: $125.42
Potential profit: $3.26
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $19.31

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $120.29
Potential payout: $123.57
Potential profit: $3.27
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $71.31

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.89K
Volume: $45.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $16.69
Potential payout: $33.39K
Potential profit: $33.37K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$664.65

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $16.69
Potential payout: $33.39K
Potential profit: $33.37K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$664.65

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.77K
Volume: $47.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $819.58
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $198.53
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $615.96

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $812.95
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $487.77
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $773.54

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.75K
Volume: $1K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.71K
Volume: $5.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $685.45
Potential payout: $920.07
Potential profit: $234.62
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$4.41

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $654.13
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $867.11
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$45.6

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.67K
Volume: $4.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.95
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.27

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.31

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.62K
Volume: $8.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $65
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $128

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.26K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $237.22
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $286.86

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.6K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.13K
Potential profit: $4.13K
User PnL: -$2.49K

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$731

PnL: $2.52K
Volume: $33.32K
Win rate: 43.8%
Open positions: 3

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$30

PnL: $2.26K
Volume: $5.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $4.97K
Potential payout: $14.83K
Potential profit: $9.86K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $570.39

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $4.79K
Potential payout: $8.04K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $120.64

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.25K
Volume: $2.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $28.81
Potential payout: $41.46
Potential profit: $12.65
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$2.05

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$86.58

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.19K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $65
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $128

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.26K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $237.22
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $286.86

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $186.9
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $34.02

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $819.58
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $198.53
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $615.96

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $812.95
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $487.77
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $773.54

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $802.78
Potential payout: $973.07
Potential profit: $170.29
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $802.78

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

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