Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $18.21K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $3.58K
Potential payout: $159.24K
Potential profit: $155.65K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $572.78

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.56K
Potential payout: $34.04K
Potential profit: $30.49K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $1.9K

If you invest $100 $956.94 back +$856.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $22.03K
Potential profit: $18.58K
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $638.98 back +$538.98 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 2:09 PM

PnL: $2K
Volume: $1.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.9%
Current value: $45.65
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $124.35
Multiplier: 3.72x
User PnL: $17.31

If you invest $100 $372.44 back +$272.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $45.56
Potential payout: $308.87
Potential profit: $263.31
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $36.73

If you invest $100 $677.97 back +$577.97 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.96K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.94K
Volume: $2.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $694.74
Potential profit: $694.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.34

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $694.74
Potential profit: $694.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.34

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.91K
Volume: $30.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Netanyahu out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $9.13K
Potential payout: $9.18K
Potential profit: $50.49
User PnL: $203.32

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $8.86K
Potential payout: $9.9K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $951.18

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.86K
Volume: $5.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $3.58K
Potential payout: $159.24K
Potential profit: $155.65K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $572.78

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.56K
Potential payout: $34.04K
Potential profit: $30.49K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $1.9K

If you invest $100 $956.94 back +$856.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.83K
Volume: $108.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $8.33K
Potential payout: $9.74K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$77.78

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $7.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$659.95

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.74K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.73K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $733.83
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $78.32

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $408.64
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $742.45
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$57.81

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.68K
Volume: $6.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.44
Potential payout: $8.45
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.16

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.4K
Potential profit: $7.4K
User PnL: -$2.32K

PnL: $1.57K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.15K
Potential profit: $23.15K
User PnL: -$8.24K

Yes position

Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.24K
Potential profit: $10.24K
User PnL: -$2.87K

PnL: $1.57K
Volume: $6.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.56K
Volume: $371.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will CXMT’s market cap be between 370 billion and 400 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $87.68
Potential payout: $88.66
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.56

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $79.72
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $0.04

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $7.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$659.95

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $7.68K
Potential payout: $9.49K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $513.03

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $3.58K
Potential payout: $159.24K
Potential profit: $155.65K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $572.78

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.56K
Potential payout: $34.04K
Potential profit: $30.49K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $1.9K

If you invest $100 $956.94 back +$856.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $22.03K
Potential profit: $18.58K
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $638.98 back +$538.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $733.83
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $78.32

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

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