Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $44.61K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $350.81
Potential payout: $4.71K
Potential profit: $4.36K
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: $39.39

If you invest $100 $1.34K back +$1.24K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $652.99
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.32K
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: -$292.16

If you invest $100 $455.58 back +$355.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $684.89
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $663.9

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 11:46 PM

PnL: $4.67K
Volume: $3.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.68K
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $567.43
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $592.31

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $272.67
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $174.87

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.67K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.64K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.54K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.53K
Volume: $41.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $652.99
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.32K
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: -$292.16

If you invest $100 $455.58 back +$355.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $518.03
Potential payout: $526.99
Potential profit: $8.96
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $430.7

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.42K
Volume: $32.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $5.35K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $151.21
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.05K
Potential payout: $5.46K
Potential profit: $409.47
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $355.89

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.36K
Volume: $61.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $684.89
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $663.9

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $663.99
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $349.73
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $305.28

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.28K
Volume: $26.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $652.64
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $391.58
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $503.46

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $621.39
Potential payout: $628.62
Potential profit: $7.23
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $611.08

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.17K
Volume: $272.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $7.16K
Potential profit: $57.27
User PnL: $184.29

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $7.05K
Potential payout: $8.2K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $176

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.17K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.05K
Volume: $158.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $146
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$41

If you invest $100 $370.37 back +$270.37 estimated profit if it wins

No position

China coup attempt before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.13

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.05K
Potential payout: $5.46K
Potential profit: $409.47
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $355.89

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.73K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $275
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $675

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.68K
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $567.43
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $592.31

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $272.67
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $174.87

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $684.89
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $663.9

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $663.99
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $349.73
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $305.28

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

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