Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $272.11
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $3.62K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$1.23K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $62.91K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.02K
- Potential profit
- $10.02K
- User PnL
- -$188.31
No position
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.29K
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $219.27
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #25
y22
0x2225...24d1 Public
- PnL
- $6.84K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #26
0x2785e7022dc20757108204b13c08cea8613b70a
0xcc26...32ca Public
- PnL
- $6.45K
- Volume
- $54.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$249.27
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.02K
- Potential profit
- $10.02K
- User PnL
- -$188.31
Rank #27
timmythewhale
0x6000...f302 Public
- PnL
- $6.44K
- Volume
- $14.17K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #28
troim
0x4a2b...af20 Public
- PnL
- $6.43K
- Volume
- $48.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $392
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $308
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $872.81
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $59.86
Rank #29
Cadabra
0xc65e...1502 Public
- PnL
- $6.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 58%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #30
aHjCz
0x2b59...9db6 Public
- PnL
- $6.26K
- Volume
- $24.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $47.61
- Potential profit
- $27.61
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $9.52
Yes position
Will CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $19.23
- Potential payout
- $35.29
- Potential profit
- $16.06
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $5.12
Rank #31
0xefce...4e4a
0xefce...4e4a Public
- PnL
- $6.19K
- Volume
- $2.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $383.65
- Potential payout
- $384.61
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- User PnL
- $89.54
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $272.11
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $3.62K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$1.23K
Rank #32
98better
0xa8a9...bb81 Public
- PnL
- $6.15K
- Volume
- $256.88K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #33
ijioo
0xba46...16ce Public
- PnL
- $6.07K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #34
papa22
0x18c7...b402 Public
- PnL
- $5.8K
- Volume
- $5K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #35
wan123
0xde7b...5f4b Public
- PnL
- $5.58K
- Volume
- $10K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $121.79
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $561.84
No position
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.29K
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $219.27
Rank #36
whig
0x40cf...d21d Public
- PnL
- $5.47K
- Volume
- $25.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $950
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $925
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $105
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.29K
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $219.27
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $994.78
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $248.69
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $441.5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $960.54
- Potential payout
- $5.06K
- Potential profit
- $4.09K
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $203.33
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $950
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $925
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $105
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $855.61
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $491.81
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$7.02
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs
Match WinnerGame Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5) Jun 19, 2026
Match Winner LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs
Yes37.5% No62.5%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)
Yes42% No58%
Event Tennis Live
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo HumbertCompleted Match Jun 24, 2026
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert
Yes43% No57%
Completed Match HSBC Championships: Completed Match: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert
Yes50% No50%
Event Tennis Live
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon NakashimaHSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.5 Jun 26, 2026
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima
Yes61.5% No38.5%
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.5 Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Tennis Live
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Paula Badosa
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 WinnerGrass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 9.5 Jun 26, 2026
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Noskova vs Badosa
Yes79% No21%
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 9.5 Noskova vs. Badosa: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs Infinite (+6.5)Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 19, 2026
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs Infinite (+6.5)
Yes50% No50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Valorant: X-CAST vs DRX Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Kiwoom DRX Academy (-2.5) vs X-CAST (+2.5)Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Kiwoom DRX Academy (-2.5) vs X-CAST (+2.5) Jun 19, 2026
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Kiwoom DRX Academy (-2.5) vs X-CAST (+2.5)
Yes50% No50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Kiwoom DRX Academy (-2.5) vs X-CAST (+2.5)
Yes10% No90.1%
Event Tennis Live
Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Eikeri/Gleason vs Mertens/Zhang
Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Eikeri/Gleason vs Mertens/Zhang Match O/U 21.5Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Eikeri/Gleason vs Mertens/Zhang Match O/U 22.5 Jun 26, 2026
Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Eikeri/Gleason vs Mertens/Zhang Match O/U 21.5 Eikeri/Gleason vs. Mertens/Zhang: Match O/U 21.5
Yes50% No50%
Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Eikeri/Gleason vs Mertens/Zhang Match O/U 22.5 Eikeri/Gleason vs. Mertens/Zhang: Match O/U 22.5
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Rainbow Six Siege: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group Stage
Game 1 WinnerGame 2 Winner Jun 19, 2026
Game 1 Winner Rainbow Six Siege: All Gamers vs TYLOO - Game 1 Winner
Yes100% No0.1%
Game 2 Winner Rainbow Six Siege: All Gamers vs TYLOO - Game 2 Winner
Yes50% No50%
Event Tennis Live
Brescia (Doubles): Mcadoo/Monnet vs Jakupovic/Radisic
Brescia (Doubles): Mcadoo/Monnet vs Jakupovic/Radisic Set 2 O/U 8.5Brescia (Doubles): Mcadoo/Monnet vs Jakupovic/Radisic Set 2 O/U 9.5 Jun 25, 2026
Brescia (Doubles): Mcadoo/Monnet vs Jakupovic/Radisic Set 2 O/U 8.5 Mcadoo/Monnet vs. Jakupovic/Radisic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
Yes50.5% No49.5%
Brescia (Doubles): Mcadoo/Monnet vs Jakupovic/Radisic Set 2 O/U 9.5 Mcadoo/Monnet vs. Jakupovic/Radisic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
Yes50% No50%
Market Live
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes20.5% No79.5%
Market Live
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes14.5% No85.5%