Yes position
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.9
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $15.5K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.1
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$17.61
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.58K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $228.15
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #61
Stonktrader
0x73e3...3239 Public
- PnL
- $1.64K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #62
Jep-G
0x993c...6787 Public
- PnL
- $1.61K
- Volume
- $13.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.1
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$17.61
Yes position
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $12.15
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Rank #63
alliswell
0x1521...f23e Public
- PnL
- $1.6K
- Volume
- $19.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #64
tinytouns
0x7555...7822 Public
- PnL
- $1.55K
- Volume
- $1.1K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #65
KrackenSruster
0xd44e...67e2 Public
- PnL
- $1.54K
- Volume
- $988.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #66
Outsid3rTrading
0xf1ef...8cd6 Public
- PnL
- $1.54K
- Volume
- $2.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #67
Steve-Haines
0xb37a...f1b1 Public
- PnL
- $1.53K
- Volume
- $4.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #68
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $1.51K
- Volume
- $17.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.74
- User PnL
- $65.17
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- User PnL
- $275.56
Rank #69
Railcool
0x94c4...43ca Public
- PnL
- $1.5K
- Volume
- $54
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #70
BISBluevine
0x096e...9c9c Public
- PnL
- $1.5K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #71
NonceChaser
0xb1ca...1705 Public
- PnL
- $1.47K
- Volume
- $41.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.58K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $228.15
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.58K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $228.15
Rank #72
zer0pers0n
0x7711...2bee Public
- PnL
- $1.46K
- Volume
- $3K
- Win rate
- 68%
- Open positions
- 3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.03
- Potential profit
- $14.03
- User PnL
- -$7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.69
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- User PnL
- -$9.84
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.58K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $228.15
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.1
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$17.61
Yes position
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $12.15
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.9
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.69
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.85
- Potential profit
- $126.85
- User PnL
- -$5
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