Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $7.77K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $7.53K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $42.48K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $3.02K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.73K
Potential payout: $23.75K
Potential profit: $21.02K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $425.94

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $2.59K
Potential payout: $13.37K
Potential profit: $10.78K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$4.1K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 10:06 PM

PnL: $2.85K
Volume: $97.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $366.88

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $2.59K
Potential payout: $13.37K
Potential profit: $10.78K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$4.1K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $27.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.73K
Potential payout: $23.75K
Potential profit: $21.02K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $425.94

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $2.33K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$538.65

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $940.88
Volume: $35.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $33.46
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $11.45
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $553.83
Volume: $0
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $25.73K
Potential payout: $28.03K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $10.12K

If you invest $100 $108.93 back +$8.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $23.19K
Potential payout: $24.72K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.28K

If you invest $100 $106.61 back +$6.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $462.04
Volume: $3.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $98.44K
Potential payout: $102.59K
Potential profit: $4.16K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $25.68K
Potential payout: $25.71K
Potential profit: $38.57
User PnL: $723.55

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $425.73
Volume: $14.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Dan Goldman win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by any margin?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $596.7
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$96.7

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.16
Potential payout: $6.33K
Potential profit: $6.33K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$260.54

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $420.09
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $7.53K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $42.48K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $3.02K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.9%
Current value: $7.03K
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.59K

If you invest $100 $128.37 back +$28.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $398.81
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $16.28K
Potential profit: $14.9K
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: $367.75

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $59.73
Potential payout: $115.99
Potential profit: $56.26
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$21.41

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $316.08
Volume: $3.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $137.69K
Potential payout: $137.89K
Potential profit: $206.84
User PnL: $344.73

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $118.62K
Potential payout: $120K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$719.76

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $302.23
Volume: $0
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $8.66K
Potential profit: $865.8
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.29K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $871.02
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $197.85
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $328.3

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $276.99
Volume: $498.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $217.89
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.7K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $67.97
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.13K

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $254.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $117.61
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.21K

If you invest $100 $106.5 back +$6.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $3.36
User PnL: $738.77

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $23.19K
Potential payout: $24.72K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.28K

If you invest $100 $106.61 back +$6.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $22.77K
Potential payout: $24.19K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $202.81

If you invest $100 $106.21 back +$6.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $8.66K
Potential profit: $865.8
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.29K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $7.53K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $42.48K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $3.02K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.9%
Current value: $7.03K
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.59K

If you invest $100 $128.37 back +$28.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.77K
Potential payout: $5.33K
Potential profit: $562.59
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $785.92

If you invest $100 $111.79 back +$11.79 estimated profit if it wins

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