Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.98K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $10.08K
Potential payout: $18.83K
Potential profit: $8.76K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$561.3

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $98.44K
Potential payout: $102.59K
Potential profit: $4.16K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.86K
Potential payout: $10.19K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $764.45

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 7:30 PM

PnL: $2.64K
Volume: $83.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.86K
Potential payout: $10.19K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $764.45

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $366.88

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $546.96
Volume: $24.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $32.44
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $11.45
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $522.16
Volume: $676.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $3.59K
Potential payout: $3.99K
Potential profit: $399.06
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.58K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $24.27K
Potential profit: $21.84K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$8.17K

If you invest $100 $1K back +$900 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $462.04
Volume: $3.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $98.44K
Potential payout: $102.59K
Potential profit: $4.16K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $25.65K
Potential payout: $25.71K
Potential profit: $64.29
User PnL: $697.84

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $425.39
Volume: $14.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $9.58
Potential payout: $19.15K
Potential profit: $19.14K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$674.42

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $9.58
Potential payout: $19.15K
Potential profit: $19.14K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$674.42

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $382.53
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $16.28K
Potential profit: $14.96K
Multiplier: 12.35x
User PnL: $310.78

If you invest $100 $1.23K back +$1.13K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $68.43
Potential payout: $115.99
Potential profit: $47.56
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$12.71

If you invest $100 $169.49 back +$69.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $316.08
Volume: $3.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $137.55K
Potential payout: $137.89K
Potential profit: $344.73
User PnL: $206.84

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $118.74K
Potential payout: $120K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$599.76

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $255.71
Volume: $390.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $217.89
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.7K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $59.75
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.14K

If you invest $100 $104.17 back +$4.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $226.05
Volume: $2.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $15.32K
Potential payout: $15.43K
Potential profit: $108.02
User PnL: $631.63

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $11.6K
Potential payout: $15.36K
Potential profit: $3.76K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.19K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $204.83
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $14.16K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.78K

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $10.08K
Potential payout: $18.83K
Potential profit: $8.76K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$561.3

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $184.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 65.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.06K
Potential payout: $9.21K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $60.45

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.8
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$19.8

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $178.32
Volume: $5.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $5.23K
Potential payout: $5.45K
Potential profit: $217.87
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $100.46

If you invest $100 $104.17 back +$4.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $136.78
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $104.06 back +$4.06 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $14.16K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.78K

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $11.6K
Potential payout: $15.36K
Potential profit: $3.76K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.19K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $10.08K
Potential payout: $18.83K
Potential profit: $8.76K
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$561.3

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $9.88K
Potential payout: $10.13K
Potential profit: $248.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.16K

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.06K
Potential payout: $9.21K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $60.45

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $6.25K
Potential payout: $6.32K
Potential profit: $63.16
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $411.56

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

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