Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $525.69 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $630.01
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.37K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.42K

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $15.72K
Potential payout: $19.53K
Potential profit: $3.81K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $224.91

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $388.96
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$650.74

If you invest $100 $400 back +$300 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 1:36 AM

PnL: $117.46
Volume: $214.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.3%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $631.18
Multiplier: 1.51x
User PnL: $664.9

If you invest $100 $150.83 back +$50.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $50.15
Potential payout: $141.46
Potential profit: $91.31
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $25.15

If you invest $100 $282.09 back +$182.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $81.91
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.3%
Current value: $829.12
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $421.44
Multiplier: 1.51x
User PnL: $443

If you invest $100 $150.83 back +$50.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $62.71
Volume: $1.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $60.01
Potential profit: $52.81
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $1.75

If you invest $100 $833.33 back +$733.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nongshim RedForce be the Last VCT Pacific Team Standing at EWC 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3.75

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $51.37
Volume: $0
Win rate: 68%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.2%
Current value: $519.21
Potential payout: $784.3
Potential profit: $265.1
Multiplier: 1.51x
User PnL: $219.21

If you invest $100 $151.06 back +$51.06 estimated profit if it wins

Miami Marlins position

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $73.53
User PnL: -$50

PnL: $51.11
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $224.91
Potential payout: $357
Potential profit: $132.09
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $154.5

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $177.83
Potential payout: $188.18
Potential profit: $10.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $32.88

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $43.63
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $14.75K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $255
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.85K

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $79.37
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $407.85

If you invest $100 $105.32 back +$5.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $31.81
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $10.49K
Potential payout: $10.68K
Potential profit: $181.48
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $893.68

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.78K
Potential payout: $4.79K
Potential profit: $7.18
User PnL: $422.55

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $30.86
Volume: $9.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.7%
Current value: $4.33K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$67.72

If you invest $100 $127.15 back +$27.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $14.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $861.63

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $30
Volume: $0
Open positions: 2

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $630.01
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.37K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.42K

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $388.96
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$650.74

If you invest $100 $400 back +$300 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $24.83
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $8.85K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $153
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.11K

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $387.93
Potential payout: $433.44
Potential profit: $45.51
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $192.88

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $23.88
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $15.72K
Potential payout: $19.53K
Potential profit: $3.81K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $224.91

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $13.7K
Potential payout: $14.55K
Potential profit: $843.74
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $206.98

If you invest $100 $106.16 back +$6.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $23.42
Volume: $719.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $7.49K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3.2K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $5.36K
Potential payout: $5.46K
Potential profit: $92.77
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $251.47

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $7.49K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3.2K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.7%
Current value: $4.33K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$67.72

If you invest $100 $127.15 back +$27.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $34.34
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $196.14

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $79.37
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $407.85

If you invest $100 $105.32 back +$5.32 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.3%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $631.18
Multiplier: 1.51x
User PnL: $664.9

If you invest $100 $150.83 back +$50.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $14.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $861.63

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

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