Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.81K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $118.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $15.34K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.04K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $9.86K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.03K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.64K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $42.13K
Potential payout: $44.04K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.51K

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 10:28 AM

PnL: $895.99
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $9.86K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.03K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.64K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $4.48K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $17.98
User PnL: $723.15

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $883.77
Volume: $27.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $2.57K
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $253.84
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $124.37

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $1.77K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $228.66
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $156.11

If you invest $100 $112.93 back +$12.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $838.95
Volume: $648.7
Win rate: 58.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $5.61K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.44K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 87.9%
Current value: $4.81K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $664.57
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $567.41

If you invest $100 $113.83 back +$13.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $715.23
Volume: $12.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $299.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $92.41

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $429.83
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $649.62
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $14.76K
Potential payout: $16.17K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.12K

If you invest $100 $109.59 back +$9.59 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $7.55K
Potential payout: $7.58K
Potential profit: $30.34
User PnL: $892.97

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $446.3
Volume: $7.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $89.91
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.07

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $417.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $4.62K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $877.25
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $229.28

If you invest $100 $118.98 back +$18.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $17.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $858.78

If you invest $100 $101.52 back +$1.52 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $395.26
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $118.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $15.34K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.04K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $42.13K
Potential payout: $44.04K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.51K

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $304.27
Volume: $346.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $735.98

If you invest $100 $152.79 back +$52.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $46.75
Potential payout: $141.46
Potential profit: $94.71
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $21.75

If you invest $100 $302.57 back +$202.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $262.59
Volume: $3.43K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $852.74
Potential payout: $26.24K
Potential profit: $25.39K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $326.74

If you invest $100 $3.08K back +$2.98K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $144.85
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: -$31.23

If you invest $100 $829.88 back +$729.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $245
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $2.68K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $822.5
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.07K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.42
Potential profit: $39.42
User PnL: -$4.27

PnL: $230.13
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $2.09K
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $457.97
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $562.62

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $350.43
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $67.1

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $12.15K
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $844.98
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.31K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $9.86K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.03K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.64K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 87.9%
Current value: $4.81K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $664.57
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $567.41

If you invest $100 $113.83 back +$13.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $4.62K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $877.25
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $229.28

If you invest $100 $118.98 back +$18.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $3.67K
Potential payout: $4.19K
Potential profit: $521.6
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $637.56

If you invest $100 $114.22 back +$14.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $2.57K
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $253.84
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $124.37

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

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