Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $22.3K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $5.9K
Potential payout: $56.77K
Potential profit: $50.87K
Multiplier: 9.62x
User PnL: $299.66

If you invest $100 $961.54 back +$861.54 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.62K
Potential payout: $27.98K
Potential profit: $23.36K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1.39K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $114.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $19.34K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $7.04K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 5:15 PM

PnL: $3.9K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $18.57K
Potential payout: $20.75K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.07K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $16.24K
Potential payout: $16.51K
Potential profit: $272.45
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.72K

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.87K
Volume: $28.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $10.65K
Potential payout: $10.87K
Potential profit: $222.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.09K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $7.77K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.48K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.83K
Volume: $27.11K
Win rate: 46%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $5.9K
Potential payout: $56.77K
Potential profit: $50.87K
Multiplier: 9.62x
User PnL: $299.66

If you invest $100 $961.54 back +$861.54 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.62K
Potential payout: $27.98K
Potential profit: $23.36K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1.39K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.75K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 58.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $7.3K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $36.69
User PnL: $3.12K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $5.45K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $24.61
User PnL: $1.21K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.46K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $12.82K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $64.41
User PnL: $6.6K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $5.37
User PnL: $462.56

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.68K
Volume: $7.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $6.67K
Potential payout: $11.12K
Potential profit: $4.45K
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $1.03K

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $3.66K
Potential payout: $3.72K
Potential profit: $59.57
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $403.67

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.39K
Volume: $29.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $6.47K
Potential payout: $7.94K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $4.67K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $4.36K
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $91.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.16K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.26K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $114.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $19.34K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $7.04K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $42.02K
Potential payout: $44.04K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.4K

If you invest $100 $104.82 back +$4.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.08K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $6.79K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.82K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$234.12

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $4.72K
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $6.39K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $2.31K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.08K
Volume: $16.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $343.72
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $48.06

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $452.82
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.87K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $961.4
Volume: $0
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $4.48K
Potential payout: $4.56K
Potential profit: $75.18
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $881.22

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $4.22K
User PnL: -$633

PnL: $709.89
Volume: $1K
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $2.91K
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $59.38
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $625.27

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$0.5

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $17.97K
Potential payout: $22.89K
Potential profit: $4.92K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$1.11K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $16.24K
Potential payout: $16.51K
Potential profit: $272.45
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.72K

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $10.65K
Potential payout: $10.87K
Potential profit: $222.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.09K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $7.77K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.48K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $7.05K
Potential payout: $7.95K
Potential profit: $898.06
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $229.33

If you invest $100 $112.74 back +$12.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $6.79K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.82K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$234.12

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

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