Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $19.8K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $178.82K
Potential payout: $204.36K
Potential profit: $25.55K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.3K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $79.95K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.05K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $29.95K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $114.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $19.34K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $7.04K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 7:51 AM

PnL: $4.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $18.15K
Potential payout: $20.75K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.65K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $16.26K
Potential payout: $16.51K
Potential profit: $247.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.75K

If you invest $100 $101.52 back +$1.52 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.83K
Volume: $28.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $10.65K
Potential payout: $10.87K
Potential profit: $217.41
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $7.68K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.61K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 58.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $7.21K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $132.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.03K

If you invest $100 $101.83 back +$1.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.44K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $27.35
User PnL: $1.2K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.33K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $12.65K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $231.88
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.43K

If you invest $100 $101.83 back +$1.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $15.52
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $452.41

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.57K
Volume: $6.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $6.28K
Potential payout: $11.12K
Potential profit: $4.84K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $643.54

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $3.66K
Potential payout: $3.72K
Potential profit: $61.43
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $401.81

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.35K
Volume: $29.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $5.48K
Potential payout: $7.94K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $3.68K

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $4.36K
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $88.97
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.16K

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.23K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $114.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $19.34K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $7.04K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $42K
Potential payout: $44.04K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.38K

If you invest $100 $104.88 back +$4.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $6.79K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.82K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$234.12

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $4.5K
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $6.61K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $2.09K

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $993.29
Volume: $0
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $4.49K
Potential payout: $4.56K
Potential profit: $63.79
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $892.61

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $4.22K
User PnL: -$633

PnL: $840.72
Volume: $51.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $10.71K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.5K

If you invest $100 $118.41 back +$18.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $9.88K
Potential payout: $10.02K
Potential profit: $140.31
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.35K

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $689.11
Volume: $1K
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $2.91K
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $59.38
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $625.27

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$0.5

PnL: $634.63
Volume: $8.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $178.82K
Potential payout: $204.36K
Potential profit: $25.55K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.3K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $107.52K
Potential payout: $112.59K
Potential profit: $5.07K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.14K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $79.95K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.05K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $29.95K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $42K
Potential payout: $44.04K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.38K

If you invest $100 $104.88 back +$4.88 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $16.26K
Potential payout: $16.51K
Potential profit: $247.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.75K

If you invest $100 $101.52 back +$1.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $12.65K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $231.88
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.43K

If you invest $100 $101.83 back +$1.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $12.22K
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $779.99
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.38K

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $10.71K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.5K

If you invest $100 $118.41 back +$18.41 estimated profit if it wins

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