Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $6.49K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $114.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $19.34K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $7.04K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $6.34K
Potential payout: $11.12K
Potential profit: $4.78K
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $699.13

If you invest $100 $175.47 back +$75.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $17.32K
Potential payout: $20.75K
Potential profit: $3.42K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $824.43

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 3:37 AM

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $17.32K
Potential payout: $20.75K
Potential profit: $3.42K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $824.43

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $13.95K
Potential payout: $16.51K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $434.53

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $7.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.2%
Current value: $10.67K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.46K

If you invest $100 $118.84 back +$18.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $8.56K
Potential payout: $10.13K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.02K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $896.15
Volume: $0
Win rate: 58.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $6.68K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $660.46
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.5K

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $5.3K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $166.83
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.07K

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $610.78
Volume: $728.43
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $6.34K
Potential payout: $11.12K
Potential profit: $4.78K
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $699.13

If you invest $100 $175.47 back +$75.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $3.54K
Potential payout: $5.85K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$345.42

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $524.87
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $11.72K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.51K

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $41.78
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $426.15

If you invest $100 $103.63 back +$3.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $500.21
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $114.03K
Potential payout: $133.37K
Potential profit: $19.34K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $7.04K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $42K
Potential payout: $44.04K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.38K

If you invest $100 $104.88 back +$4.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $439.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 96%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $228
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$53.87

If you invest $100 $107.3 back +$7.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $594.91
Potential payout: $595.21
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $45.58

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $401.98
Volume: $4.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $257.1K
Potential profit: $255.43K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $128.55

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $234.32K
Potential profit: $233.03K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$117.16

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $387.79
Volume: $4.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $332.63
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $59.15

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $452.82
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.87K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $382.66
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $5.36K
Potential payout: $7.94K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $3.56K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $3.34K
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.16K

If you invest $100 $132.38 back +$32.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $318.95
Volume: $0
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $3.85K
Potential payout: $4.56K
Potential profit: $706.24
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $250.16

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $4.22K
User PnL: -$633

PnL: $298.48
Volume: $6.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.43K

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $6.21K
Potential payout: $8.22K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$141.47

If you invest $100 $132.38 back +$32.38 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $13.95K
Potential payout: $16.51K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $434.53

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $12.22K
Potential payout: $13K
Potential profit: $779.99
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.38K

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $11.72K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.51K

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.2%
Current value: $10.67K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.46K

If you invest $100 $118.84 back +$18.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.43K

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $7K
Potential payout: $8.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$140.24

If you invest $100 $123.08 back +$23.08 estimated profit if it wins

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