Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $8.03K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $41.98K
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$16.98K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $3.41K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $41.98K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $8.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $16.98K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $7.13K
- Potential profit
- $5.29K
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- $417.02
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #1
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $574.15
- Volume
- $21.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $130.17
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.26K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $7.13K
- Potential profit
- $5.29K
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- $417.02
Rank #2
Waterfall
0x6385...93f2 Public @911Waterfall
- PnL
- $540.44
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.39K
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $400.09
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $473.56
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $316.25
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $311.04
Rank #3
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876
0x2b67...b814 Public
- PnL
- $480.36
- Volume
- $739.26
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $7.54K
- Potential payout
- $9.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.25K
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $6.75K
- Potential payout
- $7.64K
- Potential profit
- $890.39
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $815.16
Rank #4
WindsonC
0x76aa...c4f4 Public @Windson_go
- PnL
- $427.29
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 30.8%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $5.13K
- Potential payout
- $5.89K
- Potential profit
- $765.85
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $125.33
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $336.34
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $550.74
Rank #5
Dzibra1998.
0x0dba...71e9 Public
- PnL
- $375.19
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 76.5%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $309.47
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $420.48
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $165.28
Rank #6
d85jg3979
0xd6ec...2ecb Public
- PnL
- $220.88
- Volume
- $277.44
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $211.58
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$80.44
Rank #7
dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider
0x0482...6b0a Public
- PnL
- $214.7
- Volume
- $4.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $5.32K
- Potential payout
- $10.43K
- Potential profit
- $5.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$341.23
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $4.57K
- Potential payout
- $6.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Rank #8
iForgor
0x0562...9d66 Public @iForgor_PM
- PnL
- $200
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $6.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.2%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $5.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- Multiplier
- 2.49x
- User PnL
- $2K
Rank #9
tobiasschwarz
0xc8e8...d739 Public
- PnL
- $193.12
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $98.65
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $116.88
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $286.56
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $959.35
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$213.44
Rank #10
tja
0xe1b3...1426 Public
- PnL
- $185.26
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $41.98K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $8.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $16.98K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $8.03K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $41.98K
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$16.98K
Rank #11
e46m3
0x4f1d...8de2 Public @love_u_4ever
- PnL
- $168.69
- Volume
- $6.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Brazil position
Spread: Haiti (-1.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $15.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $34.7
Rank #12
4e2fbc2acf
0x1bfd...40d0 Public
- PnL
- $157.22
- Volume
- $45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $13.64K
- Potential payout
- $13.9K
- Potential profit
- $257.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $749.47
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $967
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.5
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $7.54K
- Potential payout
- $9.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.25K
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $6.75K
- Potential payout
- $7.64K
- Potential profit
- $890.39
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $815.16
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $5.32K
- Potential payout
- $10.43K
- Potential profit
- $5.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$341.23
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $5.13K
- Potential payout
- $5.89K
- Potential profit
- $765.85
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $125.33
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $4.57K
- Potential payout
- $6.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $3.75K
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $170.37
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.13K
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