Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $9.3K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $42.28K
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $3.22K

If you invest $100 $647.25 back +$547.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $4.15K
Potential payout: $39.31K
Potential profit: $35.17K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $3.49K

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $7.51K
Potential payout: $38.83K
Potential profit: $31.32K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$11.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 12:21 AM

PnL: $4.13K
Volume: $142.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $7.51K
Potential payout: $38.83K
Potential profit: $31.32K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$11.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $4.15K
Potential payout: $39.31K
Potential profit: $35.17K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $3.49K

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.37K
Volume: $27.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $2.74K
Potential payout: $23.75K
Potential profit: $21K
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: $437.81

If you invest $100 $865.8 back +$765.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$577.77

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.08K
Volume: $39.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $34.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $11.45
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $476.44
Volume: $0
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $26.22K
Potential payout: $28.03K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $10.61K

If you invest $100 $106.89 back +$6.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $23.18K
Potential payout: $24.72K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.26K

If you invest $100 $106.67 back +$6.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $470.59
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $42.28K
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $3.22K

If you invest $100 $647.25 back +$547.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $7.03K
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.6K

If you invest $100 $128.29 back +$28.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $425.39
Volume: $14.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 24.9%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.03
Multiplier: 4.02x
User PnL: $4.26

If you invest $100 $402.41 back +$302.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Dan Goldman win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by any margin?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $596.7
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$96.7

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $416.47
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.47K
Potential payout: $27.76K
Potential profit: $24.29K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$4.54K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $78.54
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $968.68
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$150.46

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $349.97
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $16.28K
Potential profit: $14.98K
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $286.36

If you invest $100 $1.26K back +$1.16K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $64.37
Potential payout: $115.99
Potential profit: $51.62
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$16.77

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $307.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $193.24K
Potential payout: $205.03K
Potential profit: $11.79K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $29.21K

If you invest $100 $106.1 back +$6.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $153.41K
Potential payout: $153.64K
Potential profit: $230.46
User PnL: $18.13K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $277.01
Volume: $2.43K
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $7.85K
Potential payout: $8.66K
Potential profit: $805.19
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.35K

If you invest $100 $110.25 back +$10.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $3.08K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $419.99
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $392.97

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $272.4
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $123.39
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.21K

If you invest $100 $106.84 back +$6.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $3.36
User PnL: $738.77

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $266.66
Volume: $662.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $202.64
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.72K

If you invest $100 $110.25 back +$10.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $67.97
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.13K

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $23.18K
Potential payout: $24.72K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.26K

If you invest $100 $106.67 back +$6.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $7.85K
Potential payout: $8.66K
Potential profit: $805.19
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.35K

If you invest $100 $110.25 back +$10.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $42.28K
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $3.22K

If you invest $100 $647.25 back +$547.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $7.51K
Potential payout: $38.83K
Potential profit: $31.32K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$11.9K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $7.03K
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.6K

If you invest $100 $128.29 back +$28.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.77K
Potential payout: $5.33K
Potential profit: $562.59
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $785.92

If you invest $100 $111.79 back +$11.79 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62% No38%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes38% No62.1%