Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.24K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $7.58K
Potential profit: $7.58K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$91.01

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $7.58K
Potential profit: $7.58K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$91.01

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $6.76K
Potential profit: $6.75K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$81.09

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 12:38 PM

PnL: $286.02
Volume: $745.25
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $82.8
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $272.48

If you invest $100 $102.99 back +$2.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$237.45

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $279.12
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$41.5

PnL: $233.33
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$500

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$200

PnL: $222.41
Volume: $0
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.87
Potential profit: $48.87
User PnL: -$36.42

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $3.67K
User PnL: -$1.09K

PnL: $221.56
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 81.2%
Current value: $73.65
Potential payout: $90.71
Potential profit: $17.05
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $3.08

If you invest $100 $123.15 back +$23.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $64.12
Potential payout: $854.99
Potential profit: $790.87
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$260.77

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $216.56
Volume: $4.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $7.58K
Potential profit: $7.58K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$91.01

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $7.58K
Potential profit: $7.58K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$91.01

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $214.89
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $652.47
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $614.46
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$299.04

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $550.45
Potential payout: $659.22
Potential profit: $108.77
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $45.04

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $191.43
Volume: $1.74K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $485.99
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $713.98
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$313.42

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $483.9
Potential payout: $565.97
Potential profit: $82.07
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $67.56

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $188.13
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $184.62
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $177.71
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $203.69
Potential payout: $969.95
Potential profit: $766.26
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $51.59

If you invest $100 $476.19 back +$376.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $148.37
Potential payout: $802
Potential profit: $653.63
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$160.39

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $176.04
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $3.89
Potential profit: $3.31
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $0.43

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$140

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $652.47
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $614.46
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$299.04

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $550.45
Potential payout: $659.22
Potential profit: $108.77
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $45.04

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $497.56
Potential payout: $532.15
Potential profit: $34.59
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $53.27

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $485.99
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $713.98
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$313.42

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $483.9
Potential payout: $565.97
Potential profit: $82.07
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $67.56

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $447.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.6

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

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