Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.1K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $320.31
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$36.28

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $414
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$12.12

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $227.92
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $572.08
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $37.52

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 7:43 AM

PnL: $167.32
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $227.92
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $572.08
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $37.52

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $218.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $31.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $186.25

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $146.44
Volume: $2.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $348.34
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $39.81

If you invest $100 $113.31 back +$13.31 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $2.58K
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $286.95
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $27.1

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $130.89
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $112.7
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $103.53
Volume: $140.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $690.13
Potential payout: $746.09
Potential profit: $55.96
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$2.22

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $633.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $66.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $68.14

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $92.51
Volume: $100
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $151.78
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $68.22
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $70.48

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $149.07
Potential payout: $289.46
Potential profit: $140.39
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$1.25

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $91.91
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $85.54
Volume: $5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $209.9
Potential payout: $228.15
Potential profit: $18.25
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $28.03

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $173.15
Potential payout: $607.77
Potential profit: $434.62
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$153.03

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $83.42
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $269.51
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$222.84

If you invest $100 $4.26K back +$4.16K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $6.12
Potential payout: $218.5
Potential profit: $212.38
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$196.96

If you invest $100 $3.57K back +$3.47K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $81.56
Volume: $6.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $22.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $83.54

If you invest $100 $102.15 back +$2.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $887.87
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $905.81
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $38.94

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $80.15
Volume: $948.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $414
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$12.12

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $320.31
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$36.28

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $72.39
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $358.22
Potential payout: $362.2
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $151.05

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $268.79
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $1.21
User PnL: $12.46

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $22.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $83.54

If you invest $100 $102.15 back +$2.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $887.87
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $905.81
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $38.94

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $874.97
Potential payout: $999.96
Potential profit: $125
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $184.99

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $690.13
Potential payout: $746.09
Potential profit: $55.96
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$2.22

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $633.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $66.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $68.14

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $414
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$12.12

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

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