Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.27K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $674.57
Potential payout: $103.78K
Potential profit: $103.11K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $47.74

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $684.99
Potential payout: $80.59K
Potential profit: $79.9K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $55.44

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $416
Potential payout: $12.8K
Potential profit: $12.38K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $31.78

If you invest $100 $3.08K back +$2.98K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 6:25 PM

PnL: $251.1
Volume: $5.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $12.59K
Potential payout: $12.87K
Potential profit: $276.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $91.99

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $12.34K
Potential payout: $12.61K
Potential profit: $271.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $241.39

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $246.18
Volume: $854.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$570

No position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.1
Potential profit: $402.1
User PnL: -$188.69

PnL: $244.44
Volume: $401.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $236.35
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $232.97
Volume: $2.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $684.99
Potential payout: $80.59K
Potential profit: $79.9K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $55.44

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $674.57
Potential payout: $103.78K
Potential profit: $103.11K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $47.74

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $225.38
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99K
Potential profit: $4.99K
User PnL: -$299.41

No position

Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.54
Potential profit: $187.54
User PnL: -$91.9

PnL: $219.5
Volume: $3.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $429.89
Potential payout: $505.75
Potential profit: $75.86
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $94.45

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $416
Potential payout: $12.8K
Potential profit: $12.38K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $31.78

If you invest $100 $3.08K back +$2.98K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $211.34
Volume: $3.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $197.12
Potential payout: $256
Potential profit: $58.88
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$32.98

If you invest $100 $129.87 back +$29.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $184.2
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15.8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $12.2

If you invest $100 $108.58 back +$8.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $203.97
Volume: $19.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.1%
Current value: $9.11K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $895
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$253.25

If you invest $100 $109.83 back +$9.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $8.57K
Potential payout: $9.22K
Potential profit: $645.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.21K

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $195.71
Volume: $1.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $439.47
Potential payout: $514
Potential profit: $74.53
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $147.64

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $432.99
Potential payout: $727.72
Potential profit: $294.73
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $191.8

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $186.32
Volume: $6.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $3.92
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $11.46
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $2.96

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $3.98
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.58

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $177.22
Volume: $24.79K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $24.98
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $6.57

If you invest $100 $4.35K back +$4.25K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $11.93
Potential payout: $318.1
Potential profit: $306.17
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$1.5

If you invest $100 $2.67K back +$2.57K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.1%
Current value: $9.11K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $895
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$253.25

If you invest $100 $109.83 back +$9.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $8.57K
Potential payout: $9.22K
Potential profit: $645.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.21K

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $8.28K
Potential payout: $9.74K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$126.5

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $684.99
Potential payout: $80.59K
Potential profit: $79.9K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $55.44

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $674.57
Potential payout: $103.78K
Potential profit: $103.11K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $47.74

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $650.01
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$350.01

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

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