Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.87K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $353.73K
Potential payout: $390.86K
Potential profit: $37.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $77.39K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $629.55K
Potential payout: $651.37K
Potential profit: $21.82K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $23.21K

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $9.74K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $25.03K
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$1.02K

If you invest $100 $357.14 back +$257.14 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 10:14 PM

PnL: $4.89K
Volume: $259.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $629.55K
Potential payout: $651.37K
Potential profit: $21.82K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $23.21K

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $353.73K
Potential payout: $390.86K
Potential profit: $37.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $77.39K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.04K
Volume: $31.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $2

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.35

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.32K
Volume: $19.97K
Win rate: 84.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $127.45

If you invest $100 $222.22 back +$122.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $506.46
Potential payout: $3.38K
Potential profit: $2.87K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $218.67

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.72K
Volume: $48.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $764.85
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $812.16
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $232.79

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $679.01
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $342.06
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $239.95

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.04K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $9.74K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $25.03K
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$1.02K

If you invest $100 $357.14 back +$257.14 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $932.28
Potential profit: $932.28
User PnL: -$84.88

PnL: $1.03K
Volume: $11.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $179.06
Potential payout: $186.53
Potential profit: $7.46
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $117.74

If you invest $100 $104.17 back +$4.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $165.29
Potential payout: $165.38
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $104.29

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1K
Volume: $38.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $0.54
User PnL: $155.3

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $995.53
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $69.21
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.73

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $972.9
Volume: $0
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $125.37K
Potential payout: $129.72K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $6.27K

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $32.73K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $2.28K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.58K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $927.05
Volume: $11.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $692.25
Potential payout: $694.33
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: $482.19

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $411
Potential profit: $411
User PnL: -$360

PnL: $925.16
Volume: $42.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.44
Potential profit: $66.44
User PnL: -$12.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.05

PnL: $912.18
Volume: $44.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $79.7
Potential payout: $79.86
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $7.83

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.21

If you invest $100 $104.17 back +$4.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $886.46
Volume: $53.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.62K
Potential payout: $10.62K
Potential profit: $5.31
User PnL: $113.28

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.11K
Potential payout: $5.12K
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: $110.69

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.3%
Current value: $23.55K
Potential payout: $29.69K
Potential profit: $6.15K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $8.7K

If you invest $100 $126.1 back +$26.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $9.74K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $25.03K
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$1.02K

If you invest $100 $357.14 back +$257.14 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $127.45

If you invest $100 $222.22 back +$122.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $995.53
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $69.21
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.73

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $985.2
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $46.42
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.72

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $764.85
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $812.16
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $232.79

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

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