Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.18K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $624.75K
Potential payout: $651.12K
Potential profit: $26.37K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $18.65K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $8.87K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $25.9K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.89K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $11.48K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$125

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:00 AM

PnL: $386.21
Volume: $2.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $2.68
User PnL: $342.09

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $599.1
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $0.9
User PnL: $2.1

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $325.73
Volume: $6
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $630.96K
Potential payout: $631.28K
Potential profit: $315.64
User PnL: $51.65K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $628.27K
Potential payout: $628.58K
Potential profit: $314.29
User PnL: $80.69K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $219.18
Volume: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $217.18

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.99K

PnL: $208.29
Volume: $78.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $11.48K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$125

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $10.49K
Potential payout: $10.62K
Potential profit: $127.46
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$8.87

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $188.96
Volume: $1.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.61K
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $19.95
User PnL: $109.25

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $994.49
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $5.5
User PnL: $44.5

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $176.51
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $213.26
Potential payout: $213.58
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $147.03

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50.51
Potential payout: $50.51
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.58

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $173.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $8.87K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $25.9K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.89K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $932.28
Potential profit: $932.28
User PnL: -$84.88

PnL: $173.82
Volume: $269.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $127.85
Potential payout: $128.17
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $77.22

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $127.06
Potential payout: $127.12
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $76.4

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $167.34
Volume: $1.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $287

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $101.83 back +$1.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $157.75
Volume: $2.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $150.21
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $7.4K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $101.22
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $782.74

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $143.98
Volume: $155
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $321
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $279
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $93

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $261
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $339
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $21.45

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $9.71K
Potential payout: $10.44K
Potential profit: $730.63
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $543.7

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $8.87K
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $25.9K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.89K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $7.4K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $101.22
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $782.74

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $6.54K
Potential payout: $7.98K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$313.12

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $101.83 back +$1.83 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.