Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.56K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $353.73K
Potential payout: $390.86K
Potential profit: $37.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $77.39K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $626.7K
Potential payout: $651.12K
Potential profit: $24.42K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $20.6K

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $224.47K
Potential payout: $240.84K
Potential profit: $16.38K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $85.34K

If you invest $100 $107.3 back +$7.3 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 11:18 AM

PnL: $3.03K
Volume: $30.52K
Open positions: 0

PnL: $2.28K
Volume: $11.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $626.7K
Potential payout: $651.12K
Potential profit: $24.42K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $20.6K

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $353.73K
Potential payout: $390.86K
Potential profit: $37.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $77.39K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.94K
Volume: $13.16K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $427.87
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $777.41
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$87.47

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $263.01
Potential payout: $665.85
Potential profit: $402.84
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $9.79

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.25K
Volume: $23.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.62
User PnL: $154.22

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05
User PnL: $157.86

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $988.59
Volume: $37.99K
Open positions: 0

PnL: $669.97
Volume: $2.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $307.75
Potential payout: $309.6
Potential profit: $1.86
User PnL: $257.89

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $261.66
Potential payout: $261.92
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $213.06

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $661.63
Volume: $29.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $10.55K
Potential payout: $10.62K
Potential profit: $74.35
User PnL: $44.24

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.32K
Potential payout: $6.33K
Potential profit: $3.16
User PnL: $94.07

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $612.91
Volume: $4.45K
Open positions: 0

PnL: $575.01
Volume: $5.39K
Open positions: 0

PnL: $561.07
Volume: $28.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $168.27

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $954.49
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $344.13
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $24.63

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $551.9
Volume: $267.99
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: $976.84

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $425.75
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $874.25
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $173.55

If you invest $100 $305.34 back +$205.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $506.76
Volume: $7.91K
Open positions: 0

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $168.27

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $979.56
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $85.18
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$4.24

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $954.49
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $344.13
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $24.63

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $882.28
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $496.28
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $218.14

If you invest $100 $156.25 back +$56.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $427.87
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $777.41
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$87.47

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $425.75
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $874.25
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $173.55

If you invest $100 $305.34 back +$205.34 estimated profit if it wins

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