Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $13.46K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $353.73K
Potential payout: $390.86K
Potential profit: $37.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $77.39K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $626.7K
Potential payout: $651.12K
Potential profit: $24.42K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $20.6K

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $218.08K
Potential payout: $240.84K
Potential profit: $22.76K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $78.96K

If you invest $100 $110.44 back +$10.44 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 2:06 PM

PnL: $3.03K
Volume: $31.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $249.01
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $5.99
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$2.93

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $218.14
Potential payout: $228.42
Potential profit: $10.28
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.32

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.28K
Volume: $11.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $626.7K
Potential payout: $651.12K
Potential profit: $24.42K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $20.6K

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $353.73K
Potential payout: $390.86K
Potential profit: $37.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $77.39K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.08K
Volume: $17.11K
Win rate: 84.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $61.49

If you invest $100 $227.27 back +$127.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $140.41
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$27.45

If you invest $100 $1.43K back +$1.33K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.18K
Volume: $26.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $0.54
User PnL: $155.3

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $2.1
User PnL: $156.82

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $925.16
Volume: $42.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.44
Potential profit: $66.44
User PnL: -$12.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.05

PnL: $912.29
Volume: $4.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $486.09
Potential payout: $486.34
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $114.65

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Current value: $365.99
Potential payout: $396.53
Potential profit: $30.53
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $307.16

If you invest $100 $108.34 back +$8.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $891.15
Volume: $2.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $309.29
Potential payout: $309.6
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $259.43

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $261.66
Potential payout: $261.92
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $213.06

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $772.32
Volume: $15.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $745.58
Potential payout: $753.87
Potential profit: $8.29
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $34.3

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $508
Potential payout: $543.32
Potential profit: $35.32
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$5.9

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $750.98
Volume: $8.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $185.36
Potential payout: $185.45
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $124.16

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $171.1
Potential payout: $171.53
Potential profit: $0.43
User PnL: $119.64

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $634.59
Volume: $29.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.6K
Potential payout: $10.62K
Potential profit: $26.56
User PnL: $92.04

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $7.51K
Potential payout: $8.89K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$275.43

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $619.52
Volume: $34.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $190.58

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $736.7
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $396.69
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $190.68

If you invest $100 $153.85 back +$53.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $575.01
Volume: $5.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $7.51K
Potential payout: $8.89K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$275.43

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $61.49

If you invest $100 $227.27 back +$127.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $190.58

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $974.24
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $90.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$9.56

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $745.58
Potential payout: $753.87
Potential profit: $8.29
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $34.3

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $736.7
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $396.69
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $190.68

If you invest $100 $153.85 back +$53.85 estimated profit if it wins

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