Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.16K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $103.32K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $462.83K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $54.67K

If you invest $100 $547.95 back +$447.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $119.9K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $98.1K
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$31.19K

If you invest $100 $181.82 back +$81.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $353.73K
Potential payout: $390.86K
Potential profit: $37.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $77.39K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 9:24 PM

PnL: $3.04K
Volume: $31.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $2.5

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.35

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.93K
Volume: $116.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $627.45K
Potential payout: $651.22K
Potential profit: $23.77K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $21.26K

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $353.73K
Potential payout: $390.86K
Potential profit: $37.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $77.39K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.3K
Volume: $19.97K
Win rate: 84.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.18K
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $102.97

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $472.7
Potential payout: $3.38K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $184.91

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.09K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $119.9K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $98.1K
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$31.19K

If you invest $100 $181.82 back +$81.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $103.32K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $462.83K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $54.67K

If you invest $100 $547.95 back +$447.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.04K
Volume: $37.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $0.54
User PnL: $155.3

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $990.21
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $74.53
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $6.41

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $47.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $875.24
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $701.77
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $343.18

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $698.5
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $401.5
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $225.5

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $951.36
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $13.22K
Potential payout: $14.01K
Potential profit: $791.45
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $241.74

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $9.04K
Potential payout: $9.78K
Potential profit: $733.31
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $48.89

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $945.4
Volume: $11.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $160.76
Potential payout: $161.08
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $111.28

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $160.33
Potential payout: $165.38
Potential profit: $5.04
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $99.33

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $927.54
Volume: $3.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $276.63
Potential payout: $277.18
Potential profit: $0.55
User PnL: $226.83

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $219.22
Potential payout: $228.36
Potential profit: $9.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $169.85

If you invest $100 $104.17 back +$4.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $925.16
Volume: $42.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.44
Potential profit: $66.44
User PnL: -$12.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.05

PnL: $911.04
Volume: $5.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $778.33
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $280.62
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $476.26

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $506.75
Potential payout: $507
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $45.38

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $910.65
Volume: $44.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $79.7
Potential payout: $79.86
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $7.83

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $113.5
Potential profit: $113.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$97.41

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $103.32K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $462.83K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $54.67K

If you invest $100 $547.95 back +$447.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $62.26K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $30.66K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $35.22K

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $13.22K
Potential payout: $14.01K
Potential profit: $791.45
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $241.74

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $9.04K
Potential payout: $9.78K
Potential profit: $733.31
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $48.89

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $8.88K
Potential payout: $9.55K
Potential profit: $668.29
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $49.29

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.18K
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $102.97

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

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