Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.75K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$53.25

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $139.88
Potential profit: $139.04
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$4.76

If you invest $100 $16.67K back +$16.57K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $13.5
Potential profit: $12.62
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.04

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 4:14 PM

PnL: $651.9
Volume: $29.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $643.41
Volume: $31.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $27.36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $25.57

If you invest $100 $101.83 back +$1.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $125.27
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $17.04

If you invest $100 $108.75 back +$8.75 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $643.3
Volume: $6.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $619.06
Volume: $66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $3.44K
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $162
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $38.6

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $3.1K
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $68.01
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.48

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $602.17
Volume: $6.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $576.23
Volume: $10.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $13.5
Potential profit: $12.62
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.04

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $139.88
Potential profit: $139.04
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$4.76

If you invest $100 $16.67K back +$16.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $534.3
Volume: $24.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $521.56
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $484.76
Volume: $3.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $54.58
Potential payout: $205.97
Potential profit: $151.39
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $20.95

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $54.44
Potential payout: $162.5
Potential profit: $108.06
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $20.93

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $472.16
Volume: $9.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $996.26
Potential profit: $995.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$33.24

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $347.33
Potential profit: $346.98
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$40.78

If you invest $100 $100K back +$99.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $467.43
Volume: $5.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $56.53
Potential payout: $56.61
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $36.59

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $56.08
Potential payout: $56.11
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $8.06

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $452.33
Volume: $38.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $190.57
Potential payout: $190.67
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $30.1

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $189.8
Potential payout: $189.9
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $24.19

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $27.36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $25.57

If you invest $100 $101.83 back +$1.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $125.27
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $17.04

If you invest $100 $108.75 back +$8.75 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.4%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $390.14
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$68.93

If you invest $100 $127.55 back +$27.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $185.07
Potential payout: $316.37
Potential profit: $131.29
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $46.54

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $54.58
Potential payout: $205.97
Potential profit: $151.39
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $20.95

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $54.44
Potential payout: $162.5
Potential profit: $108.06
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $20.93

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

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