Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$77.26
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $4.23K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.84
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.85
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #13
0x702e2cd74357405F24534E2
0x702e...4357 Public
- PnL
- $480.65
- Volume
- $2.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.57
- Potential profit
- $138.57
- User PnL
- -$6.93
Rank #14
0xBA63D3a0105A3C01bfa561015c36911C8D1536dC-1769606304708
0xba63...36dc Public
- PnL
- $474.5
- Volume
- $1.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.26
- Potential profit
- $252.26
- User PnL
- -$75.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.95
- Potential profit
- $305.95
- User PnL
- -$85.76
Rank #15
gghff
0x044f...d1f1 Public
- PnL
- $465.03
- Volume
- $9.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $298.05
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $292.95
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $22.95
Rank #16
yourthos
0x4f11...53b0 Public
- PnL
- $435.97
- Volume
- $9.19K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #17
shamu10086
0x8b6f...b9be Public
- PnL
- $429.2
- Volume
- $6.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #18
anonymous58371
0x7e0c...8b5e Public
- PnL
- $412.07
- Volume
- $14.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $107.88
- Potential payout
- $110.47
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $107.83
- Potential payout
- $109.53
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Rank #19
0x97abe233a0eB7F3b1A23c6E083892d6D05Baa19f-1722790943967
0x97ab...a19f Public
- PnL
- $408.98
- Volume
- $3.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$68.99
Rank #20
donkrea
0x3016...54e9 Public
- PnL
- $387.73
- Volume
- $20.49K
- Win rate
- 78%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #21
Kickstand8
0xcf7c...f2cb Public
- PnL
- $374.48
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 94%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$34.56
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$69.15
Rank #22
0x6400219CCCC8EAaA22729253111fD6660D20331a-1759869298583
0x6400...331a Public
- PnL
- $362.21
- Volume
- $13.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $217.45
- Potential payout
- $224.05
- Potential profit
- $6.61
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $14.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $212.59
- Potential payout
- $229.83
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Rank #23
merz1305
0x52eb...67ac Public @myaicompany
- PnL
- $346.21
- Volume
- $9.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $191.31
- Potential payout
- $191.41
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $48.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $177.13
- Potential payout
- $270.42
- Potential profit
- $93.3
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$14.19
Rank #24
CreamCream1215
0x01ce...27a2 Public
- PnL
- $323.31
- Volume
- $2.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$77.26
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $212.59
- Potential payout
- $229.83
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $208.8
- Potential payout
- $213.5
- Potential profit
- $4.7
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $177.13
- Potential payout
- $270.42
- Potential profit
- $93.3
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$14.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $107.88
- Potential payout
- $110.47
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $107.83
- Potential payout
- $109.53
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$77.26
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Inflation Live
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Jan 20, 2027
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Yes23.2% No76.8%
Market Inflation Live
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? Jan 10, 2027
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Yes4.7% No95.4%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?
Yes6% No94.1%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Yes11.5% No88.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? Jan 10, 2027
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Yes5% No95.1%
Market Inflation Live
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Yes13.5% No86.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Yes16.5% No83.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%? Jan 19, 2027
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
Yes3.4% No96.6%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Yes15.2% No84.8%
Market Inflation Live
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Yes3.8% No96.3%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Yes12.5% No87.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Yes14.1% No85.9%