Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.46K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $19.07
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$483.97

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $513.88
Potential payout: $11.29K
Potential profit: $10.78K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$2.69K

If you invest $100 $2.2K back +$2.1K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $420.39
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $26.49

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 5:15 AM

PnL: $160.21
Volume: $3.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.79
Potential profit: $2.79
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.02

PnL: $151.59
Volume: $928.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $5.89
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $150.74
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Team Vitality position

LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.15
Potential profit: $34.15
User PnL: -$20.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.94
Potential profit: $267.94
User PnL: -$13.62

PnL: $148.29
Volume: $365.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $397.92
Potential payout: $475.13
Potential profit: $77.21
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $47.35

If you invest $100 $119.4 back +$19.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $391.84
Potential payout: $572.03
Potential profit: $180.19
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$34.23

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $145.5
Volume: $13.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $145.42
Volume: $12.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $122.53
Potential payout: $158.1
Potential profit: $35.57
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$3.61

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $120.56
Potential payout: $330.31
Potential profit: $209.75
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$90.21

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $142.89
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $513.88
Potential payout: $11.29K
Potential profit: $10.78K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$2.69K

If you invest $100 $2.2K back +$2.1K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $420.39
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $26.49

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $138.64
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $25.9
Potential payout: $26.25
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.05

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $19.07
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$483.97

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $138.61
Volume: $339.93
Open positions: 1

PnL: $138.03
Volume: $23.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $137.6
Volume: $219.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.8
Potential profit: $22.8
User PnL: -$7.46

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.1

PnL: $137.42
Volume: $660.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $211.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $88.5
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$37.5

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 69.2%
Current value: $201.49
Potential payout: $291.21
Potential profit: $89.72
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $6.66

If you invest $100 $144.53 back +$44.53 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $397.92
Potential payout: $475.13
Potential profit: $77.21
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $47.35

If you invest $100 $119.4 back +$19.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $391.84
Potential payout: $572.03
Potential profit: $180.19
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$34.23

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $359.06
Potential payout: $544.03
Potential profit: $184.97
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $11.37

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $211.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $88.5
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$37.5

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 69.2%
Current value: $201.49
Potential payout: $291.21
Potential profit: $89.72
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $6.66

If you invest $100 $144.53 back +$44.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $122.53
Potential payout: $158.1
Potential profit: $35.57
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$3.61

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?

Yes1.3% No98.8%

Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?

Yes80.5% No19.5%

Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?

Yes2.3% No97.7%

Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?

Yes2.8% No97.3%

Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?

Yes45.5% No54.5%

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62.5% No37.5%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes38% No62.1%