Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.73K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $5.92
Potential payout: $12.34
Potential profit: $6.42
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $0.92

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $8.59
Potential profit: $2.71
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.11

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $6.55
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.89

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 8:27 PM

PnL: $181.15
Volume: $597.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$1.21

No position

Will Hannover 96 vs. VfL Bochum end in a draw?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$5.5

PnL: $180.43
Volume: $1.03K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $603.17
Potential profit: $603.17
User PnL: -$190

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $179.34
Volume: $4.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $5.92
Potential payout: $12.34
Potential profit: $6.42
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $0.92

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $6.55
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.89

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $177.75
Volume: $916.24
Open positions: 1

PnL: $176.17
Volume: $1.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C or higher on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.22
Potential profit: $94.22
User PnL: -$89.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.82
Potential profit: $44.82
User PnL: -$4.93

PnL: $172.8
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $168.29
Volume: $2.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.84
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.94
Potential profit: $22.94
User PnL: -$2.72

PnL: $167.31
Volume: $6.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $164.72
Volume: $2.01K
Win rate: 64%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.36
Potential profit: $139.36
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.14

PnL: $164.43
Volume: $3.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $160.32
Volume: $24.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $160.21
Volume: $682.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $17.5
User PnL: -$4.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.79
Potential profit: $8.79
User PnL: -$4.87

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $603.17
Potential profit: $603.17
User PnL: -$190

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.82
Potential profit: $44.82
User PnL: -$4.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.41
Potential profit: $42.41
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or higher on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes10.7% No89.3%

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Yes20.5% No79.5%

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Yes24% No76%

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Dec 31, 2026

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes19% No81%

Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes35% No65%

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes16.3% No83.8%

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Yes12.5% No87.5%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes9.5% No90.5%

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Yes73% No27%

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

Yes6.2% No93.9%

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Dec 31, 2026

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes8% No92%

Human moon landing in 2026?

Yes3.1% No96.9%