Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $8.88M OVERALL · MONTH · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $9.97K
Potential payout: $316.5K
Potential profit: $306.53K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $2.01K

If you invest $100 $3.17K back +$3.07K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $381.96
Potential payout: $50.93K
Potential profit: $50.55K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $19.66

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $398.47
Potential payout: $37.95K
Potential profit: $37.55K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $102.01

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

OVERALL leaderboard

Updated 3:19 AM

PnL: $1.05M
Volume: $25.6M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Under position

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$1.22K

Over position

Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.49K
Potential profit: $36.49K
User PnL: -$20.43K

PnL: $1.02M
Volume: $91.11M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $10.09K
Potential payout: $17.54K
Potential profit: $7.46K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $9.97K
Potential payout: $316.5K
Potential profit: $306.53K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $2.01K

If you invest $100 $3.17K back +$3.07K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $986.02K
Volume: $142.2M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Under position

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $378.27
Potential payout: $957.63
Potential profit: $579.37
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$4.79

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

Joaquin Aguilar position

Piracicaba: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Estevez

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $339.32
Potential payout: $827.62
Potential profit: $488.29
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $16.55

If you invest $100 $243.9 back +$143.9 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $981.89K
Volume: $9.58M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $13.19K
Potential payout: $13.44K
Potential profit: $248.67
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $101.88 back +$1.88 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $10.66K
Potential payout: $13.58K
Potential profit: $2.92K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $121.64

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $921.57K
Volume: $6.37M
Open positions: 1

PnL: $903.89K
Volume: $32.31M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $9.81K
Potential payout: $54.07K
Potential profit: $44.26K
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: -$8.17K

If you invest $100 $550.96 back +$450.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $9.74K
Potential payout: $29.06K
Potential profit: $19.33K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$179.65

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $837.44K
Volume: $148.32M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $398.47
Potential payout: $37.95K
Potential profit: $37.55K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $102.01

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $395.4
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $170.1

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $828.85K
Volume: $8.56M
Open positions: 1

PnL: $676.11K
Volume: $15.44M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $5.96K
Potential profit: $4.77K
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$138.27

If you invest $100 $500 back +$400 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $3.2K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$619.81

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $674.25K
Volume: $2.39M
Open positions: 1

PnL: $656.03K
Volume: $13.84M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Canada leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $307.94
Potential profit: $307.94
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.92K
Potential profit: $14.92K
User PnL: -$2.41K

PnL: $654.43K
Volume: $12.35M
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $10.09K
Potential payout: $17.54K
Potential profit: $7.46K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $9.97K
Potential payout: $316.5K
Potential profit: $306.53K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $2.01K

If you invest $100 $3.17K back +$3.07K estimated profit if it wins

San Diego Padres position

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $9.92K
Potential payout: $10.21K
Potential profit: $291.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.81K

If you invest $100 $102.93 back +$2.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $9.81K
Potential payout: $54.07K
Potential profit: $44.26K
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: -$8.17K

If you invest $100 $550.96 back +$450.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $9.74K
Potential payout: $29.06K
Potential profit: $19.33K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$179.65

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $9.59K
Potential payout: $49.56K
Potential profit: $39.97K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $5.91K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Yes16.5% No83.5%

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Yes3.9% No96.1%

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Yes5.5% No94.5%

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

Yes6.5% No93.5%

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Yes10.5% No89.5%

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62% No38%

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Yes83.5% No16.5%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes38% No62.1%