Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $23.2K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $102K
Potential profit: $98.99K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $3.39K back +$3.29K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $626.17K
Potential payout: $669.7K
Potential profit: $43.53K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.07K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $3.26K
Potential payout: $10.89K
Potential profit: $7.63K
Multiplier: 3.34x
User PnL: $2.84K

If you invest $100 $333.89 back +$233.89 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 12:15 AM

PnL: $8.6K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.1%
Current value: $3.71K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $6.3K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $3.38K

If you invest $100 $269.91 back +$169.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $3.26K
Potential payout: $10.89K
Potential profit: $7.63K
Multiplier: 3.34x
User PnL: $2.84K

If you invest $100 $333.89 back +$233.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.35K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $10.59K
Potential payout: $10.87K
Potential profit: $282.64
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.03K

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $7.68K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.84K
Volume: $11.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $17.99K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$279.42

If you invest $100 $111.17 back +$11.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $10.35K
Potential payout: $11.15K
Potential profit: $797.18
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.96

If you invest $100 $107.7 back +$7.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.56K
Volume: $3.66K
Win rate: 63%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $2.91K
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $660.01
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $856.18

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.12K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $599.5

If you invest $100 $533.33 back +$433.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $8.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $3.49K
Potential payout: $8.03K
Potential profit: $4.54K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $2.04K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $102K
Potential profit: $98.99K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $3.39K back +$3.29K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.33K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $7.09K
Potential profit: $4.85K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $695.63

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $4.31K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$156.07

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.19K
Volume: $4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $6.39K
Potential payout: $7.94K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $4.59K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $4.33K
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $115.66
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.13K

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $19.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 48.4%
Current value: $1.68K
Potential payout: $3.48K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 2.07x
User PnL: $1K

If you invest $100 $206.83 back +$106.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $6.72K
Potential profit: $5.61K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $154.88

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $923.53
Volume: $730.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 74.3%
Current value: $5.22K
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $517.83

If you invest $100 $134.68 back +$34.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $9.69
User PnL: $73.85

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $910.57
Volume: $181.47K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $626.17K
Potential payout: $669.7K
Potential profit: $43.53K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.07K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $242.46
Potential payout: $252.96
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.4

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $889.26
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $21.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $405.72
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $1.06K

If you invest $100 $129.87 back +$29.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $873.61
Volume: $10.03K
Win rate: 96%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$530.2

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $10.35K
Potential payout: $11.15K
Potential profit: $797.18
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.96

If you invest $100 $107.7 back +$7.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $9.76K
Potential payout: $10.25K
Potential profit: $491.89
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $155.29

If you invest $100 $105.04 back +$5.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $7.68K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $6.39K
Potential payout: $7.94K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $4.59K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 74.3%
Current value: $5.22K
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $517.83

If you invest $100 $134.68 back +$34.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.1%
Current value: $3.71K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $6.3K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $3.38K

If you invest $100 $269.91 back +$169.91 estimated profit if it wins

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