Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $9.74K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.81K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $26.2K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $3.61K

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $25.27K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $4.54K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $25.27K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $4.54K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 6:46 AM

PnL: $3.66K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.6%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $7.14K
Multiplier: 3.50x
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $349.77 back +$249.77 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $10.89K
Potential profit: $8.78K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.68K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $10.55K
Potential payout: $10.87K
Potential profit: $320.69
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2K

If you invest $100 $103.04 back +$3.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.43K

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $930
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $25.27K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $4.54K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $25.27K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $4.54K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $923.87
Volume: $3.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $13.04K
Potential payout: $14.03K
Potential profit: $996.4
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9.49

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $10.38K
Potential payout: $10.92K
Potential profit: $540.68
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $417.36

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $608.27
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $5.75K
Potential payout: $7.62K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $9.57

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will between 13 and 15 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $2.11
User PnL: $4.14

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $545.36
Volume: $1.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "Maternal Instinct" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $190.71
Potential payout: $489
Potential profit: $298.29
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $185.82

If you invest $100 $256.41 back +$156.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Homecoming" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $185.82
Potential payout: $489
Potential profit: $303.18
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $180.93

If you invest $100 $263.16 back +$163.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $459.88
Volume: $506.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 74.4%
Current value: $5.23K
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $528.37

If you invest $100 $134.41 back +$34.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $9.69
User PnL: $73.85

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $429.67
Volume: $29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $5.66K
Potential payout: $9.2K
Potential profit: $3.54K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.29K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $4.74K
Potential payout: $18.52K
Potential profit: $13.78K
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: $806.79

If you invest $100 $390.63 back +$290.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $314.74
Volume: $1.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $11.02K
Potential profit: $8.98K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $1.61K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $11.02K
Potential profit: $8.98K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $1.61K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $289.51
Volume: $1.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jack Grealish join Newcastle United?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $47
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $53
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $46.6

If you invest $100 $212.77 back +$112.77 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.2%
Current value: $46.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $53.85
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $45.65

If you invest $100 $216.68 back +$116.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $284.49
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.37K
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.2%
Current value: $720.57
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: $446.57

If you invest $100 $255.43 back +$155.43 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $270.49
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.6%
Current value: $313.85
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $783.92
Multiplier: 3.50x
User PnL: $272.13

If you invest $100 $349.77 back +$249.77 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.7%
Current value: $240.89
Potential payout: $326.86
Potential profit: $85.96
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$9.14

If you invest $100 $135.69 back +$35.69 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $9.81K
Potential payout: $10.25K
Potential profit: $440.65
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $206.53

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.43K

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $7.22K
Potential profit: $115.48
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $918.75

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $5.75K
Potential payout: $7.62K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $9.57

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $25.27K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $4.54K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $25.27K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $4.54K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

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