Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $123.78K ECONOMICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $60.88K
Potential payout: $1.1M
Potential profit: $1.04M
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$85.62K

If you invest $100 $1.8K back +$1.7K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $190.6K
Potential payout: $960.22K
Potential profit: $769.61K
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$289.51K

If you invest $100 $503.78 back +$403.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $191.75K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $308.25K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$58.25K

If you invest $100 $260.76 back +$160.76 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

ECONOMICS leaderboard

Updated 12:45 AM

PnL: $32.04K
Volume: $74.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $60.88K
Potential payout: $1.1M
Potential profit: $1.04M
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$85.62K

If you invest $100 $1.8K back +$1.7K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $60.57K
Potential payout: $205.34K
Potential profit: $144.76K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $8.86K

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $23.86K
Volume: $33.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $96.92K
Potential payout: $107.09K
Potential profit: $10.17K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $52.68K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $82.62K
Potential payout: $83.12K
Potential profit: $498.69
User PnL: $21.1K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $13.5K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $258.08K
Potential payout: $285.17K
Potential profit: $27.09K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $46.49K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $163.88K
Potential payout: $164.13K
Potential profit: $246.19
User PnL: $22.87K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.29K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $769.61K
Potential payout: $960.22K
Potential profit: $190.6K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $289.51K

If you invest $100 $124.77 back +$24.77 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $190.6K
Potential payout: $960.22K
Potential profit: $769.61K
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$289.51K

If you invest $100 $503.78 back +$403.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.07K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 84.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $17.52K
Potential payout: $312.91K
Potential profit: $295.39K
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$99.06K

If you invest $100 $1.79K back +$1.69K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.82K
Potential profit: $105.82K
User PnL: -$23.75K

PnL: $8K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 61.7%
Current value: $308.25K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $191.75K
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $58.25K

If you invest $100 $162.21 back +$62.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $243.14K
Potential payout: $244.61K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: $57.77K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.31K
Volume: $2.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $78.18K
Potential payout: $86.39K
Potential profit: $8.21K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $535.01

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $63.9K
Potential payout: $84.63K
Potential profit: $20.73K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$8.33K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.26K
Volume: $143.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $63.84K
Potential payout: $134.39K
Potential profit: $70.56K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$5.35K

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $27.09K
Potential payout: $91.83K
Potential profit: $64.74K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$3.11K

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.9K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $228.39K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.63K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $52.34K
Potential payout: $52.47K
Potential profit: $131.17
User PnL: $6.4K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.55K
Volume: $8.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $116.18K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $16.6K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.95K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $70.91K
Potential payout: $149.29K
Potential profit: $78.38K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.43K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $8.47K
Potential payout: $152.63K
Potential profit: $144.16K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$48.72K

If you invest $100 $1.8K back +$1.7K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $3.19K
User PnL: -$702.03

PnL: $4.31K
Volume: $5.29K
Win rate: 57.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.7%
Current value: $214.54K
Potential payout: $262.63K
Potential profit: $48.09K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $110.77K

If you invest $100 $122.41 back +$22.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $15.56K
Potential payout: $28.29K
Potential profit: $12.73K
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $919.34

If you invest $100 $181.82 back +$81.82 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $228.39K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.63K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.7%
Current value: $214.54K
Potential payout: $262.63K
Potential profit: $48.09K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $110.77K

If you invest $100 $122.41 back +$22.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $191.75K
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $308.25K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$58.25K

If you invest $100 $260.76 back +$160.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $190.6K
Potential payout: $960.22K
Potential profit: $769.61K
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$289.51K

If you invest $100 $503.78 back +$403.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $116.18K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $16.6K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.95K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $84.17K
Potential payout: $177.19K
Potential profit: $93.03K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$2K

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62% No38%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes38% No62.1%